Reuters Blogs

Shop Talk

Retailers, consumers and prices

May 10th, 2007

April is the cruelest month for retail

Posted by: Brad Dorfman
Tags: Uncategorized

Maybe Mother’s Day will help. U.S. retailers reported worse-than-than expected April sales on Thursday, prompting some retailers, including Children’s Place, Pacific Sunwear and New York & Co to cut their first-quarter earnings forecast.

As expected, the shift of Easter season sales into the March reporting period cut into April sales. Cold and wet weather for much of the quarter just made the situation worse, especially for apparel sales.

Retailers are now left hoping Saturday, the day before Mother’s Day, will help rescue the spring selling season. The Saturday before Mother’s Day was the second highest sales volume day in 2006 … behind the Friday after Thanksgiving.

The following table shows same-store sales results for U.S. retailers, compared with analysts estimates.

The table includes the range of mean estimates* given by analysts polled by Reuters, the average of those means#, and the actual change in same-store sales reported by the companies^.

All figures expressed in percentage change over the same period last year except number of estimates.

    APRIL-07 APRIL-07
    Analysts’ same-store No. of same-store
Company Symbol estimates* sales (est)# Estimates sales (act)^






Wal-Mart##   2.5 to 0 -1.2 12 -3.5
Target   -9 to -5.1 -6.7 12 -6.1
Costco   4 to 7 6.0 12 7.0
BJ’s Wholesale   -1 to 2 0.8 10 -2.1
TJX Cos.   -4 to 4 0.0 10 -1.0
Dollar General   -1 to 3 0.9 8 -2.4
Family Dollar   -2 to 3 -0.5 10 -4.9
Ross Stores   -5 to -2 -3.0 7 -7.0






Kohl’s   11.5 to -5 -7.7 16 -10.5
JC Penney   -2 to 2 -0.5 13 -4.7
Federated   -5 to 3.25 0.8 13 -2.2
Nordstrom   2 to 10 3.9 15 3.1
Saks   4 to 9 6.7 8 11.7
Dillard’s   10 to -3 -5.4 8 -14.0
Bon-Ton Stores^^   11 to -4 -6.9 4 -13.4






Gap   14 to -5 -7.4 15 -16.0
Limited   -2 to 4 1.2 16 -1.0
Abercrombie   12 to -2 -6.2 20 -15.0
Hot Topic~   -8 to -3 -5.3 11 -9.1
Chico’s FAS   -5 to 3 -1.1 16 -7.3
American Eagle~   -3 to 5 1.6 19 -10.0
Aeropostale   -8 to 5 -3.0 11 -14.0
Pacific Sunwear   15 to -2 -6.1 16 -16.5
Ann Taylor   -7 to 1 -4.1 15 -12.8
Gymboree   -5 to 3 -3.1 9 -5.0
Bebe   -9 to 0.5 -6.2 10 -9.0
Claire’s Stores   -3 to 2 -0.8 5 -6.0
Children’s Place   -5 to 7 -1.4 9 -2.0






Sharper Image   27.5 to -22.5 -24.3 3 11.0

##For U.S. stores

^^For Bon-Ton and Carson’s combined

Post Your Comment

*
To prove you're a person (not a spam script), type the security word shown in the picture. Click on the picture to hear an audio file of the word.
Click to hear an audio file of the anti-spam word