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Shop Talk

Retailers, consumers and prices

11:09 October 3rd, 2008

Check Out Line: Gloomy holiday sales forecasts continue

Posted by: Sarah Coffey
Tags: Shop Talk, , , ,

christmas-tree.jpgCheck Out more gloomy forecasts for the holiday sales season.

With mall traffic likely weak for the remainder of the year and uncertainty lingering in the financial markets, analysts at CL King say that even with inventory reductions across the board they don’t yet see a light at the end of the tunnel.

“We believe the macro situation has fallen further with worse-than-anticipated negative data points on employment, housing, car sales, investment portfolios, etc.,” CL King wrote in an analyst note.

“The consumer has been cut back with regard to credit availability, as have small businesses. The extreme volatility in financial markets and the subsequent barrage of negative news headlines is probably causing further mall traffic weakness … Such mall traffic weakness is not likely to improve in October, despite very favorable weather comparisons.”

A Reuters/Zogby poll says nearly six times as many shoppers plan to spend the same or less than last year than those who plan to spend more.

Also in the basket:

Family Dollar profit tops Wall St view, shares up (Reuters)

CVS takes issue with Longs shareholder letter (Reuters)

Anheuser-Busch expects 3rd-qtr income up (Reuters)

(Photo/Reuters)

One comment so far

Full of Doubts, U.S. Shoppers will cut Spending. This will be the final nail in the coffin that is the US economy. Consumers have already cut back spending, and further cutbacks coming into the holiday season (which account for more than 50% of retail sales) will mean big job losses and a deep recession in the new year. See more on the economic signs in this article : http://www.savingtoinvest.com/2008/10/an d-you-thought-last-monday-was-bad.html

- Posted by Andy

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