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19:10 March 10th, 2009

Moody’s Bottom (Restaurant and Retail) Rung

Posted by: Lisa Baertlein
Tags: Shop Talk, , , , , , , ,
bcbgMoody’s on Tuesday published its “U.S. Bottom Rung,” a list of companies that the corporate credit ratings agency thinks are at the most risk of defaulting on their debt. There are 283 companies on the list, which is current as of March 1, including the names of some beloved restaurants, retailers and food companies.

Why do this? The Wall Street Journal offers some possibilities:

“Sounds like Moody’s may be trying to get out in front on defaults, given they were perhaps a little behind on subprime mortgages and commercial mortgage-backed securities,” said David Resnick, managing director at investment banking firm Rothschild Inc. which works on many corporate bankruptcies and restructurings.

Moody’s and credit-rating rival Standard & Poor’s were criticized by the Senate in hearings late last year about the effectiveness of the ratings agencies.

The Journal also says Moody’s enters risky territory by naming some companies that say they are in, as the paper put it, decent fiscal health.

That said, here are the restaurants, retailers and food companies on that list, along with their probability of default rating and outlook (don’t worry about the debt specific ratings - they’re all different ways of saying “junk”):

* Arby’s Restaurant Group Inc (B3, negative)
* Barney’s New York Inc (Caa1, negative)
* BCBG Max Azria Group Inc (Caa3, negative)
* Beverages & More Inc (Caa1, negative)
* Blockbuster Inc (Caa1, negative)
* Bon-Ton Stores Inc (B3, negative)
* Brookstone Company Inc (Caa2, negative)
* Burlington Coat Factory Warehouse Corp (B3, negative)
* Center Cut Hospitality Inc (B3, negative)
* Chiquita Brands International Inc (B3, negative)
* Claire’s Stores Inc (Caa3, negative)
* Destination Maternity Corp (B3, negative)
* Dole Food Company Inc (Caa1, negative)
* Duane Reade Inc (Caa2, stable)
* Eddie Bauer Inc (Caa2, negative)
* El Pollo Loco Inc (Caa1, negative)krispy-kreme1
* Finlay Fine Jewelry Corp (Caa3, negative)
* Gold Toe Moretz Holdings Corp (Caa3, negative)
* Guitar Center Holdings Inc (Caa1, stable)
* Harry & David (Caa3, negative)
* Krispy Kreme Doughnut Corp (Caa3, negative)
* Loehmann’s Capital Corp (Caa2, negative)
* MAPCO Express Inc (B3, negative)
* Mattress Holdings Corp (Caa1, rating under review)
* Michaels Stores Inc (B3, negative)
* NBC Acquisition Corp (B3, negative)
* Oriental Trading Company Inc (Caa3, rating under review)
* OSI Restaurant Partners Inc (Ca, rating under review)
* Perkins & Marie Callender’s Inc (Caa3, negative)
* Quiksilver Inc (B3, negative)
* Rafaella Apparel Group Inc (Caa1, negative)
* Rare Restaurant Group LLC (Caa2, negative)
* Real Mex Restaurants Inc (Caa2, negative)
* Rite Aid Corp (Caa2, negative)
* Roundy’s Supermarkets Inc (B3, negative)
* Sagittarius Restaurants LLC (Caa1, stable)
* Sbarro Inc (Ca, negative)
* St. John Knits International Inc (B3, rating under review)
* TSA Stores Inc (B3, negative)

(Photos\Reuters)

7 comments so far

[...] has nicely put together a summarization of all 39 retail and restaurant operators to make the distinction, and there’s not too many [...]

- Posted by Moody’s: Blockbuster, Rite Aid, 37 Others Distressed « Counter Culture

[...] Moody’s bottom (restaurant and retail) run: Shop Talk Share and Enjoy: These icons link to social bookmarking sites where readers can share and [...]

- Posted by Daily consumer dish: March 11 | Klepto

[...] Here is a list of retailers you may want to avoid having in your properties. [...]

- Posted by Moody’s Bottom Rung Retailer’s « RetailChatr

I am surprised that Borders Books did not make the list. They recently announced or closed stores on Michigan Ave, (Miracle Mile), in Chicago, and on the 3rd Street Promenade in Santa Monica, CA. Two better locations are hard to imagine.

- Posted by John Seravalli

This is a sad day for Moody’s. Several of the retailers on this less will still be going strong long after everyone at Moody’s will have expired.
Whereas, 6 months ago Moody’s had an “A” rating for Lehman Bros the week before they declared BK.
Moody’s is a joke.

- Posted by Garry

Krispy Creame? Seriously? Dole Food? uh. Time must indeed be bad. The good thing is that all these companies can come back from the brink with some slimming down and creative marketing.

- Posted by Harold

[...] Moody’s has comprised a list of restaurants, retailers and food companies that are at most risk of defaulting on their debt.   Here is the bottom rung.   Read the full article HERE  [...]

- Posted by Retailers at the Bottom | Property Jump

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