Reuters Blogs

Shop Talk

Retailers, consumers and prices

July 18th, 2009

Retailers do well by going cheap

Posted by: Taiga Uranaka

Japan is back in deflation, and price falls look like gathering pace as shoppers' bargain-hunting leads stores to cut prices further to weather the worst retail slump in decades.

Retailers large and small reported hard falls in quarterly profits last week, and the few bright spots were focused on those drawing in thrifty shoppers with their cheap but well-made goods.

FAST-RETAILING/

Fast Retailing tops the list, as its Uniqlo stores thrive in tough times by selling T-shirts for $10 -- that's cheap here -- and other clothing at similar bargain prices. The company is also seeing strong sales growth at its other basic apparel chain g.u.

g.u., the cut-rate sibling of already-cheap Uniqlo, had a low profile for years but shoppers started flooding in after it slashed prices across the board and started flogging $11 jeans and $5 T-shirts this year.

Shoe retailer ABC Mart, which also saw solid growth in its quarterly profits, said its sales of heeled sneakers jumped three-fold after it lopped almost 50 percent off the price-tag back in spring.

Even convenience stores, which had been thought to be pretty well immune to price competition, are starting to cut prices. Seven-Eleven, Japan's largest chain, has marked down some household items like shampoo recently.

The trend is likely to intensify.

Japan's second-largest retailer, Aeon Co Ltd, said it planned more markdowns to plug a hole in its sales. The operator of Jusco supermarkets is one of the most aggressive in expanding cheap in-house brands and marking down national brands.

This is deflation in action. The stores hope that by dangling cheap price tags, they will raise their total sales as customers flood in and buy more items each. This puts added pressure on suppliers like food makers and household goods companies, already pushed hard by retailers to bring down their prices. And then shoppers hold back spending in the hope of even cheaper prices.

All this gives the central bank and the government major headaches as they try to break the downward spiral in prices that has dire consequences for businesses, employment and the economy as a whole.

They've got their work cut out though, and some retailers aren't that sympathetic.

An executive at one major retaling group told me he didn't think his firm's demand for further price cuts would hurt its suppliers.

"Look at how much profit they make," he said rather grudgingly.

June 26th, 2009

Check Out Line: Consumer spending shows a tiny rise

Posted by: Nicole Maestri

cash-register3Check out a government report showing that U.S. consumer spending rose 0.3 percent in May after an upwardly revised flat reading in April.

It was the first gain in spending since February, as government stimulus pushed incomes higher.

“Probably the increase in personal income was due to the increasing transfer payments coming from the government right now as you’re starting to see some of the stimulus kick in,” said Doug Roberts, chief investment strategist at Channel Capital Research.

“But right now what you have to look at is, though consumption is positive, it’s kind of a tepid rebound versus the huge bounce back everyone was expecting. So we have to see if this is stabilization.”

Meanwhile, personal income in May surged 1.4 percent from April as social benefit payments included in the government’s massive economic stimulus jumped. The stimulus provided for one-time payments of $250 to people receiving Social Security, supplemental security income and other benefits.

But much of that stimulus money has not yet been spent. The data showed the savings jumped to a record annual rate of $768.8 billion — the highest level since records began in 1959. The saving rate climbed to 6.9 percent, the highest since December 1993.

“The rise in consumption was normal, but the rise in income was abnormally high because of government payments to people with the stimulus and social security, etc,” said Richard Hoey, chief economist at Mellon Financial Corp.

“You’re going to get a lot of commentary about the super-high savings rate, but the reason the rate was high was because of this abnormal burst of income at a rate that is clearly unsustainable. The rise in the savings rate isn’t reflective of any behavioral phenomenon in the consumer. It is a one-month burst in income.”

Also in the basket:

JC Penney president resigns to be Foot Locker CEO

KB Home posts loss, says housing drop moderating

W-A-L M-A-R-T… M-O-U-S-E! (nytimes.com)

(Photo: Reuters)

March 16th, 2009

The sweet spot

Posted by: Taiga Uranaka
Amid the nagging cavity for consumption created by the global financial crisis, at least one sweet spot has emerged for the world's No.2 economy -- sales of cakes, candies and confections.
Ignore turnover of luxury designer items, any kind of car or home, or basically most of Japan's recession-plagued output, and turn instead to sugar by-products, and you'll find the nation deep in a 25-month bon-bon bonanza.
Shoppers, not just at Krispy Kreme Doughnuts, are waiting 30 minutes or more with a department store rep telling me that since March last year, sweets are the top selling food segment.
JAPAN/"There is a line all the time, even on weekdays," said Kayoko Shibata at Mitsukoshi department store in Tokyo's upscale Ginza shopping district.
"Almost everyday, the shop runs out of stock by late afternoon," she added.
Pastry chefs even hooked up with designers to create some outlandish products for a Tokyo candy catwalk last week.
What does all this say about the generally bitter consumption slump overall?
Perhaps more individuals are now indulging themselves at home, rather than eating out, also cutting down on big ticket spending while finding solace in saccharine or sugary delectables.
"Sweets are one way of making time at home more enjoyable," said Takashi Iida, who manages the sweets section at Matsuya department store in Ginza.
Photo credit: REUTERS/Yuriko Nakao
August 4th, 2008

Check Out Line: Of incomes, spending and jobs

Posted by: Brad Dorfman

clouds.jpgCheck out more signs of consumers being put in a vise.
 
Personal income rose 0.1 percent in June, the Commerce Department said. That was the lowest rise since April 2007.
 
And in fact, if it were not for the economic stimulus checks some consumers received in June, disposable income would have shrunk, the department said.
 
Meanwhile, costs continued to rise. The personal consumption expenditures price index — an inflation gauge — rose at its highest year-over-year pace since May 1991.
 
Consumer spending rose 0.6 percent in June, but actually fell 0.2 percent accounting for inflation. So consumers are spending more to get less.
 
Oh, and one more thing on the gloomy economic front, Challenger, Gray & Christmas Inc said planned layoffs at U.S. companies rose 26 in July from June.
 
Also in the basket:
 
Retailer Boscov’s files bankruptcy, may be sold
 
Walgreen July same-store sales up
 
Burani says investor eyeing bid for 15-18 percent stake
 
Calvin Klein’s latest controversy (WWD)

(Photo: Reuters)