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Retailers, consumers and prices

August 21st, 2008

Check Out Line: It’s a bad idea to raise the turkey you sell

Posted by: Aarthi Sivaraman

turkey.jpgCheck out why Heinz didn’t suffer like Hormel did in the past quarter.

H.J. Heinz came in with a quarterly profit that beat Wall Street expectations, helped by price increases and new product sales, while Jennie-O turkey seller Hormel Foods saw its earnings dip.

Food companies have found it tough going as commodity costs shoot up, but Hormel was particularly hard hit. The reason? It raises the turkeys that it eventually sells — meaning spiking corn feed costs hurt its results. 

Also in food news –  Burger King reported quarterly numbers that easily beat analysts’ expectations, as consumers headed to its restaurants for a burger or two. It also issued a fiscal 2009 outlook within Wall Street’s expectations.

On the apparel end, Children’s Place posted a small quarterly profit, helped by summer clothing sales and cost cuts. Still, the kids’ apparel retailer said it expects further pressure on consumer spending due to the weak U.S. economy.

To round up news in the sector, Kohl’s Corp, a mid-tier department store operator, named its president Kevin Mansell as its chief executive, replacing Larry Montgomery, who will remain the company’s chairman.

Also in the basket:

Skechers says still wants to buy Heelys

Shareholder aims to thwart Longs-CVS deal - NY Post   

Tesco completes 605 mln stg of property deals

(Photo: Reuters)

May 16th, 2008

Soaring gas sinks Goldman’s view of retailers

Posted by: Nicole Maestri

highgas.jpgWhat does gas at $4.50 a gallon mean for some mall-based department stores?

A downgrade by Goldman Sachs.

Goldman sharply raised its forecast for oil prices in the second half of this year, saying it expects U.S. crude to average $141 a barrel, up from a previous projection of $107. Goldman also forecasts prices will rise further next year to average $148.

That is not good news for retailers.

“Higher energy spending in the second half is likely setting the stage for a more challenging backdrop for consumer discretionary sectors, particularly for the department store stocks,” Goldman noted.

Goldman downgraded JC Penney and Nordstrom to ”neutral” from “buy.” It swapped its conviction list “buy” designation on Kohl’s with Wal-Mart. It upgraded off-price retailer TJX to “buy” from “neutral.”

Goldman also cut its second half same-store sales estimates for JC Penney, Kohl’s, Nordstrom and Macy’s.

“We believe companies will face an uphill battle against escalating energy prices offset by easier top-line compares and the anniversary of 2007’s extremely warm Fall season,” Goldman said about the second half of the year. ”In the end, we believe energy and constrained cash flow will win this tug-o-war causing same store sales to re-decelerate as the second half progresses.”
 
(Photo: Reuters)