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Retailers, consumers and prices

August 29th, 2008

Check Out Line: Wal-Mart cuts prices in Canada

Posted by: Aarthi Sivaraman

walmart-milk.jpgCheck Out Wal-Mart’s price cuts for eggs, milk, butter and bread in Ontario, Canada.

If you are counting pennies but still want that morning coffee and omelet, you can now buy one- and two-liter milk cartons for $1.77 and $2.97 respectively or a dozen large eggs for $1.97, if you shop at Wal-Mart’s Ontario stores.

The world’s top discount retailer said that besides cutting prices for those staple food items in its Ontario stores, it will also slash prices on hundreds of products across Canada in September, after a round of different price cuts in August.

Wal-Mart’s decision is yet another nod to the fact that more and more shoppers are squeezed for money these days.

“With looming back-to-school costs, gas-pump woes, food-price hikes, and a struggling provincial economy, times are tough for many of our Ontario customers,” said Vi Konkle, Wal-Mart Canada’s chief customer officer, in a release.

It certainly looks like Wal-Mart is paying close attention to consumers’ money-saving actions, such as drawing up shopping lists to avoid spending extra money, consolidating shopping trips, avoiding costly items and buying cheaper store-brand products.

Konkle said milk, butter, eggs and bread feature prominently on people’s shopping lists, and that is why they’re getting their prices cut.

With that move in Canada, how far behind is a round of price reductions in the United States?

Also in the basket:

Starbucks says more discounts, promotions coming

Suitmakers hit hard as retailers want discounts

Tiffany U.S. fortunes could turn at holidays

Linens ‘n Things may file restructuring on Friday - NY Post

(Photo: Reuters)

August 28th, 2008

Check Out Line: Mixed messages from retailers

Posted by: Ben Klayman

Check out retailers’ profits and forecasts.

A discerning shopper, or investor for that matter, could browse the aisles of the retail financial world and come away with very different messages on the strength of the U.S. economy depending on which company’s results they chose.

default-2.jpgOn the plus side,  upscale jeweler Tiffany posted a better-than-expected profit and raised its full-year outlook, although that was driven by strong sales overseas. Tiffany expects U.S. same-store sales to return to growth in the fourth quarter. Shoe and hat retailer Genesco, and home-appliance and consumer-electronics retailer Conn’s also topped Wall Street’s views and boosted their forecasts.

For the pessimists out there, Williams-Sonoma saw its profit fall and it cut its forecast, while Sears Holdings also fell short of expectations amid the weak housing market.

Somewhere in the middle was discount store operator Fred’s, which reported a profit in line with what analysts were expecting.

Retailers have been hit in varying degrees as consumers dial back discretionary spending due to the pressure from high food and gasoline prices. Even as the U.S. economy grew stronger than first thought in the second quarter, economists see growth slowing as the year progresses.

Also in the basket:

Genesco posts better-than-expected profits; ups views

Williams-Sonoma profit falls, forecast cut

Sears Holdings profit falls short

Fred’s Q2 profit in line with market estimates

Michael Kors (but You Knew That) (New York Times)

(Photo: Reuters)

August 13th, 2008

Check Out Line: The short-lived tax rebate boost

Posted by: Nicole Maestri

sale.jpgCheck out the fading influence of tax rebate checks.

Tax rebate checks helped boost June retail sales but their influence appears to have petered out by July, according to data released by the Commerce Department on Wednesday.

The figures showed that total sales at U.S. retailers declined 0.1 percent in July, which was in line with forecasts made by Wall Street economists. A big reason for the drop was a fall off in auto sales. Auto and auto parts sales fell 2.4 percent in the month, their biggest drop since April, and were off a whopping 10.5 percent from year-ago levels. 

But excluding autos, retail sales were up 0.4 percent in July. That was roughly in line with forecasts, but down from a 0.9 percent rise in June. 

Economists said before the numbers were released that spending has been supported by government stimulus checks but that the stimulus effect was waning in July because most of the checks already have been issued. Meanwhile, prices for many food items are on the rise and there was only a slight moderation in gasoline prices during the month. 

The Commerce Department said gasoline sales in July were up 0.8 percent after a 4 percent June jump. But reflecting higher prices, gasoline sales were 24.6 percent higher than in July last year. 

Excluding gasoline, retail sales in July fell 0.2 percent after a 0.1 percent June decline.

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Liz Claiborne profit tops view; narrows ‘08 range

Yearly import prices post biggest rise in 26 years

CVS Caremark to buy Longs in $2.54 bln deal

Best Buy to sell iPhone in the U.S.

Mechanism for Credit Is Still Stuck  (NYT)               

(Photo: Reuters)

July 30th, 2008

Check Out Line: International strength pretties up Avon profit

Posted by: Lisa Baertlein

lips1.jpgCheck out how international sales and the weak dollar continue to lift quarterly results at U.S. companies.

Second-quarter profit at cosmetics firm Avon Products Inc more than doubled, as demand in Latin America and other overseas markets more than made up for sagging U. S. results.

Office Depot posted a 6 percent drop in North American retail sales, but a 13 percent rise in international sales during in its most recent quarter.

Still, investors are wondering when and if the United States’ economic malaise will spread to markets like Europe, Asia and Latin America.

Some cracks are already showing. Britain’s stressed housing market is putting pressure on consumer spending and Spain has reported a plunge in June retail sales amid a severe economic slowdown.

Also in the basket:

Los Angeles City Council passes fast-food ban

Oil slide, US glimmers of hope boost stocks

Jones Apparel 2nd-qtr profit tops estimates

(Photo: REUTERS/Jo Yong-Hak)

July 22nd, 2008

Check Out Line: How oil prices and consumers influence earnings

Posted by: Aarthi Sivaraman

consumer.jpgCheck Out how the spiking price of oil and lifeless consumer spending are affecting more consumer companies.

Supervalu, whose chains include Albertsons and Save-A-Lot, didn’t see any increase in its total quarterly sales. Its food sales were actually down 0.7 percent, but the company saved itself in part with lower expenses, and reported a higher quarterly profit.

But the No.3 U.S. supermarket chain cut its full-year outlook, acknowledging the effect of tight consumer spending, as shoppers are increasingly squeezed by high gasoline and food prices.

Pizza chain Domino’s didn’t think much of its situation either. 

The company’s second-quarter profit, excluding some items, missed Wall Street’s estimates and its Chief Executive David Brandon said returning to positive same-store sales in the United States has “proven difficult” for the company. The problem? The same as it is for others– high costs, struggling consumers.

“We are in a turnaround mode, which is not fun,” Brandon said.

No fun indeed, as is the case for most companies these days.

 Also in the basket:

SunTrust sells big Coke stake, profit falls 21 percent

Hermes sees no reason to join CAC 40, shares fall

Unilever agrees to Bertolli olive oil/vinegar sale

U.S. back-to-college spending to fall this year - survey

Protests, ambush marketing hurt Olympic brand

Why Dora the Explorer Can’t Come To Your Kid’s Birthday Party - (WSJ)

(Photo: Reuters)

July 15th, 2008

Check Out Line: Billions can’t rescue retail sales

Posted by: Nicole Maestri

shop.jpgCheck out all those billions of dollars in U.S. tax rebate checks failing to give June retail sales much of a boost.

The Commerce Department said on Tuesday that total sales at U.S. retailers rose a less-than-expected 0.1 percent in June.  Economists polled by Reuters had forecast total retail sales to rise 0.4 percent in June, following a 0.8 percent gain in May.

Part of the weaker-than-expected results were due to falling demand for cars. Auto and auto parts sales fell 3.3 percent in June — their worst month since February 2006.  But even excluding autos, retail sales rose 0.8 in June, which was below the consensus estimate of 1.0 percent. Excluding autos, building supplies and gasoline, retail sales rose 0.4 percent in June. 

Economists had expected government tax rebate checks to give a bigger boost to retail sales in June, despite the weak overall U.S. economy, as shoppers had excess cash to spend. But last week, major retail chains, like J.C. Penney,  Target and Gap, released their June sales results and many did not see a rebate boost. Penney said it might have received a “modest” sales lift from the checks but any benefit would be “short lived.”

So where did the billions of rebate cash go?

Well, Wal-Mart got a chunk. Its June U.S same-store sales rose at their highest level in years as traffic in its stores jumped. The retailer had offered to cash tax rebate checks for free.

Surging gasoline prices likely gobbled up an even bigger chuck of the rebate dollars. The Commerce Department said gasoline station sales rose 4.6 percent in June as motorists faced higher prices at the pump. Over the past year, gasoline station sales have jumped 24.5 percent to nearly $46 billion last month, on a seasonally adjusted basis.

Charles Grom, a retail analyst with JP Morgan, estimates that every 1 cent increase at the pump, translates into $1.4 billion of lost consumer spending power. “Therefore, the (roughly) $1.00 jump in retail gas year-over-year should more than offset the $106 billion stimulus package,” he wrote in a note last week.

Also in the basket:

Newell Rubbermaid to exit certain product lines

Kimberly-Clark cuts year outlook, says profit fell

(Photo: Reuters)

June 23rd, 2008

Check Out Line: Walgreen’s 3rd-quarter results propel stock

Posted by: Aarthi Sivaraman

Check out the quarterly results at Walgreen, one of the largest U.S. drugstore operators.

The company posted a 2 percent increase in quarterly profit, amid a weak U.S. economy and slowing growth in sales of prescription drugs —  in the rewalgreen.jpgported quarter, Zyrtec was switched to over-the-counter status.

And a slower-than-usual flu season — (good for you and me) – wasn’t so good for Walgreen. The company also pointed to the milder flu period for a slowdown in prescription drug sales volume in the quarter.

The company said it is on track to beat its goal of opening 550 new drugstores this year — and perhaps even come to the rescue of cash-strapped shoppers in the process.

“We’re adding neighborhood locations for today’s customer who is searching for value and struggling with high gas prices,” President Greg Wasson said in a statement on Monday.

As of May 31, the company operated 6,727 store locations in 49 states, but will be in all 50 states when it opens its first Alaska stores in 2009.

Also in the basket:

Bunge to buy Corn Products for $4.4 billion

Costco plans Australia foray to challenge duopoly

Busch family member backs ’strong’ Anheuser Busch

Jones Apparel takes stake in Asian partner

(Photo: Reuters)

June 17th, 2008

Check Out Line: Inflation crimps consumer companies

Posted by: Lisa Baertlein

cocoaBy Ben Klayman

Check out how high gas and commodity costs are crimping Hershey and Best Buy.

Chocolate maker Hershey cut its long-term earnings growth target and said it would boost advertising as it moves to reverse falling profits.

However, the largest U.S. chocolate company, which is meeting with analysts, said the pressures it faces — soaring prices for cocoa , energy and other commodities — remain the same.

“We expect 2009 to be another trying year for us with respect to input costs,” Chief Executive David West said.

The price of oil has surged to $133 a barrel and that has pushed up costs across all industries.

The government said rising energy prices sent producer prices – a gauge of costs at the farm and factory gate — up a bigger-than-expected 1.4 percent in May. Housing starts fell in May to their lowest level in more than 17 years as that industry grapples with the subprime mortgage meltdown.

Meanwhile, consumer electronics retailer Best Buy reported a lower, but better-than-expected quarterly profit thanks to market share gains in TVs, computers and video games.

Like all retailers, Best Buy has faced slowing consumer spending due to rising gasoline and food prices prices, as well as the U.S. housing slump.

Also in the basket:

Reuters Consumer and Retail Summit coverage

(Photo: REUTERS/Susana Gonzalez)

June 9th, 2008

Check Out Line: Pier 1 offers to buy Cost Plus

Posted by: Aarthi Sivaraman

pier-1.jpgCheck Out Pier 1’s sudden offer to buy Cost Plus for $88.4 million in stock, just as the home decor retailer is trying to cut its own losses from previous quarters by shutting stores, cutting jobs and  spending less on marketing.

Pier 1  said it would issue 0.6 shares of its common stock for each Cost Plus share outstanding. The Texas-based company believes it can seal a deal in the third quarter.

Pier 1’s chief executive officer Alex Smith thinks Cost Plus is an “excellent” fit and that a deal would improve Cost Plus’ s operating margin due to synergies with Pier 1 in areas like store operations and shared services.

From its end, Cost Plus, which sells home furnishings and gourmet food, said it would meet with its financial and legal advisors to review the proposal.

Also in the basket:

McDonald’s May same-store sales up 7.7 pct

Sotheby’s shares rise on revenue forecast

Goody’s files for Chapter 11 bankruptcy

Herbalife rebuts lead claims

U.S. gasoline rises above $4 a gallon for first time

From WAGs to watches: luxury’s soccer pitch

(Photo: Pier 1 Web site)

June 6th, 2008

Check Out Line: Jobs jolt

Posted by: Brad Dorfman

clouds.jpgCheck out the loss of more retail jobs. 

Another 27,000 retail jobs disappeared in May, according to the U.S. government’s monthly employment report. That makes 152,000 retail jobs eliminated since the beginning of the year.
 
Overall, nonfarm payrolls fell by 49,000. But even more worrisome for the economy and for retailers could be the jump in the unemployment rate to 5.5 percent. That half-point jump was the largest such move in 22 years and brought the unemployment rate to its highest level in 3-1/2 years.
 
Retailer’s May sales reports yesterday were mostly better than expected, causing some analysts to think they could signal the beginning of a consumer turnaround.
 
But others said it just showed a blip in spending that was caused by the tax rebate checks consumers have begun to receive. 
 
Economic concerns could still linger after all that stimulus money is gone, they say, and things could get worse if consumers, already hit by $4-a-gallon gasoline, soaring food prices and falling home values really start to worry about their jobs.

Wonder how a half-point jump in the unemployment number plays into that?
 
Meanwhile, to take your mind of the jobs report, there’s always the company pep rally that masquerades as the Wal-Mart annual meeting. The world’s-largest retailer flies in employees from all around the world to help pack the basketball arena at the shopper1.jpgUniversity of Arkansas, where stars entertain the crowd (this year’s acts include Miley Cyrus), everybody does the Wal-Mart cheer, and, oh yeah, shareholders get to ask questions.
 
Also in the basket:
 
New Wal-Mart director may herald changing of the guard (Wall Street Journal, subscription required)
 
Target grows makeup artist brands, adds testers (WWD)

 (Photos: Reuters)