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UPDATE: Quantum theories of score prediction won’t help you now, Mr Bond

December 14, 2009

torres.jpgMONDAY UPDATE: A truly appalling week for the panel. Admittedly, it was hard to predict Manchester United losing 1-0 at home to Aston Villa and Chelsea’s 3-3 home draw with Everton but nevertheless it was dreadful.

Some serious soul searching must go on in the coming weeks whilst eating our mincepies and finding yet another pair of socks when opening our Christmas presents.

Our leader Patrick was only spared the horror of a one point return by Arsenal’s 2-1 win at Anfield and the fact we’d made that the double pointer. Week winner Neil Maidment. who romped up to fourth with 17, also got that score spot on and deserves a bonus point for saying Arshavin would score. 

Kevin wanted a bonus point for style for predicting 2-5 to Arsene Wenger’s boys but then he also said Spurs would win 6-0 and they lost. As he correctly guessed Bolton 3-3 Manchester City ( how bizarre is that given Bolton’s shot-shy nature?) he can have one extra, but that only brings him up to 9.

Let us know in the comments how you did in the wider world. UTV, of course you can count that result, we believe you. I’m feeling generous ( as yes, I admit it. I only got one point in total…..)

Reuters Soccer blog panel: Patrick Johnston 157, Mitch Phillips 138, Paul Radford 133, Neil Maidment 117, Simon Evans 114, Mike Collett 114, Mark Meadows 113,  Kevin Fylan 109,  Julien Pretot 102, Miles Evans 96,  Martyn Herman 84, Asia Sports Desk 83, Justin Palmer 41, Sonia Oxley 38

Mark Meadows

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FRIDAY POST: In a week of Nobel Prize presentations, our thoughts here at Reuters Soccer Blog have naturally turned to Niels Bohr, and we can’t help agreeing with the Danish physicist’s observation that prediction is very difficult … particularly about the future.

We’ve tried everything to get better at predicting the weekend scores but no matter how much we study the form, no matter how many statistical models we, erm, model, no matter how many random numbers we generate or pins we stick in, we remain at least as uncertain as any Heisenberg principle you care to mention.

Let’s recap: All you have to do is predict the scores of the weekend matches in English football’s top flight. If you get the score dead on, it’s five points. If you get the right result, wrong scoreline, it’s one point. Easy, huh?

Well, not for us. The Reuters Soccer Blog panel continues to be more Call My Bluff than QI. Here are the scores as they stand:

Reuters Soccer blog panel: Patrick Johnston 146, Mitch Phillips 132, Paul Radford 122, Simon Evans 113, Mark Meadows 112, Mike Collett 111, Kevin Fylan 100, Neil Maidment 100, Miles Evans 89, Julien Pretot 89, Asia Sports Desk 79, Martyn Herman 74, Justin Palmer 41, Sonia Oxley 37

Rest of the World: Chipking is on at least 112, sean harrison is up to 104 (after a late start, too)  and there are plenty of others, slightly shier with their declarations, comfortably beating the likes of me.

Remember, this is all done on the honour system, so send us your predictions in the comments, count up your scores, let us know, and you get to lord it over us here.

Double points this week on … Liverpool v Arsenal.

And don’t be put off by the new registration system for comments. It only takes a second and, if the cookie monster doesn’t show up to wreck everything, you’ll be golden.

This weekend’s fixtures:

Birmingham v West Ham: Patrick Johnston 3-2, Mitch Phillips 2-0, Paul Radford 0-1, Simon Evans 1-1, Mark Meadows 1-1, Mike Collett 2-0, Kevin Fylan 4-1, Neil Maidment 2-0, Miles Evans 3-2, Julien Pretot 1-0, Asia Sports Desk 1-1, Martyn Herman 2-0, Justin Palmer , Sonia Oxley 1-2

Bolton v Man City: Patrick Johnston 1-2, Mitch Phillips 0-2, Paul Radford 0-2, Simon Evans 1-1, Mark Meadows 0-2, Mike Collett 1-3, Kevin Fylan 3-3, Neil Maidment 1-2, Miles Evans 1-3, Julien Pretot 2-2, Asia Sports Desk 1-3, Martyn Herman 0-4, Justin Palmer , Sonia Oxley 1-2

Burnley v Fulham: Patrick Johnston 1-2, Mitch Phillips 1-1, Paul Radford 2-1, Simon Evans 2-0, Mark Meadows 1-2, Mike Collett 2-2, Kevin Fylan 2-1, Neil Maidment 1-2, Miles Evans 2-2, Julien Pretot 2-2, Asia Sports Desk 0-2, Martyn Herman 2-2, Justin Palmer , Sonia Oxley 2-0

Chelsea v Everton: Patrick Johnston 2-0, Mitch Phillips 3-0, Paul Radford 3-0, Simon Evans 3-1, Mark Meadows 3-1, Mike Collett 2-2, Kevin Fylan 4-1, Neil Maidment 3-0, Miles Evans 1-0, Julien Pretot 4-1, Asia Sports Desk 2-0, Martyn Herman 2-0, Justin Palmer , Sonia Oxley 2-1

Hull v Blackburn:  Patrick Johnston 1-2, Mitch Phillips 0-1, Paul Radford 1-1, Simon Evans 2-1, Mark Meadows 1-1, Mike Collett 4-2, Kevin Fylan 1-1, Neil Maidment 0-2, Miles Evans 1-3, Julien Pretot 0-2, Asia Sports Desk 1-1, Martyn Herman 0-0, Justin Palmer , Sonia Oxley 1-1

Man United v Aston Villa: Patrick Johnston 2-2, Mitch Phillips 2-2, Paul Radford 1-1, Simon Evans 3-1, Mark Meadows 3-0, Mike Collett 3-0, Kevin Fylan 2-1, Neil Maidment 3-0, Miles Evans 2-1, Julien Pretot 4-0, Asia Sports Desk 3-1, Martyn Herman 1-0, Justin Palmer , Sonia Oxley 2-1

Stoke v Wigan:  Patrick Johnston 1-2, Mitch Phillips 2-1, Paul Radford 2-1, Simon Evans 2-1 , Mark Meadows 2-1, Mike Collett 1-0, Kevin Fylan 1-2, Neil Maidment 2-0, Miles Evans 2-2, Julien Pretot 1-1, Asia Sports Desk 0-0, Martyn Herman 1-1, Justin Palmer , Sonia Oxley 1-2

Sunderland v Portsmouth:  Patrick Johnston 1-2, Mitch Phillips 2-1, Paul Radford 3-1, Simon Evans 4-0, Mark Meadows 2-0, Mike Collett 2-3, Kevin Fylan 3-0, Neil Maidment 1-1, Miles Evans 2-3, Julien Pretot 1-1, Asia Sports Desk 2-1, Martyn Herman 2-0, Justin Palmer , Sonia Oxley 3-0

Spurs v Wolves:  Patrick Johnston 5-2, Mitch Phillips 3-1, Paul Radford 2-0, Simon Evans 2-0, Mark Meadows 4-1, Mike Collett 9-1 (yes, really), Kevin Fylan 6-0, Neil Maidment 2-0, Miles Evans 1-1, Julien Pretot 3-0, Asia Sports Desk 3-0, Martyn Herman 5-1, Justin Palmer , Sonia Oxley 2-1

Liverpool v Arsenal: Patrick Johnston 1-2, Mitch Phillips 2-1, Paul Radford 1-2, Simon Evans 2-2, Mark Meadows 1-1, Mike Collett 2-0, Kevin Fylan 2-5 (possible bonus points for style here), Neil Maidment 1-2, Miles Evans 1-1, Julien Pretot 2-1, Asia Sports Desk 1-3, Martyn Herman 1-3, Justin Palmer , Sonia Oxley 2-1

PHOTO: Liverpool’s Fernando Torres stands in the rain during their Champions League soccer match against Fiorentina at Anfield in Liverpool, December 9, 2009. REUTERS/Darren Staples

Comments

It ain’t rocket science, I suppose. Harking back to a previous week, and people brought up in pubs knowing a lot about football, this week my dad is going for…
Birmingham 2 Hammers 0
Bolton 0 Man City 4
Burnley 1 Fulham 1
Chelsea 8 Everton 0
Hull 1 Blackburn 1
Man Utd 5 Villa 3
Stoke 0 Wigan 0
Sunderland 4 Wolves 0
Liverpool 2 Arsenal 0

Posted by Kevin Fylan | Report as abusive
 

Don’t let Rafa Benitez hear about Heisenberg or he’ll be likely to offer £10 million for him – then leave him in the reserves.

Posted by pinhead | Report as abusive
 

I didnt predict so but Im getting the feeling Liverppol will suddnly come good against the Gunners, with the half decent spanish lad probably back

Posted by MarkMeadows | Report as abusive
 

Birmingham v West Ham, 2.2
Bolton v Man City, 0.1
Burnley v Fulham, 2.1
Chelsea v Everton, 2.0
Hull v Blackburn, 0.1
Liverpool v Arsenal, 2.1
Man Utd v Aston Villa, 2.1
Stoke v Wigan, 1.3
Sunderland v Portsmouth, 1.1
Tottenham v Wolverhampton, 2.1

Posted by harrison.s | Report as abusive
 

Greetings from your esteemed leader.
Firstly what has happened to the rest of the world?????
Chipking maybe its time you did a Dean Ashton and just retired, Maid you have lost your touch like Eduardo and Sean Harrison like Man City you may have had some good results but you still have a lot of work to do to catch me.
My extra prediction for you this week is Dirk Kuyt and Hugo Rodallega to score for Liverpool and Wigan, you heard it hear first. Good luck fighting for second everyone

Posted by PatrickJ | Report as abusive
 

I have verdict that Manchester United will hit hard,,, at least Manchester United will win 2 goals against Aston Villa.

Posted by SoccerProPick | Report as abusive
 

maids predictions

Birmingham v West Ham, 1-2
Bolton v Man City, 0-2
Burnley v Fulham, 1-0
Chelsea v Everton, 3-1
Hull v Blackburn, 1-1
Liverpool v Arsenal, 2-0
Man Utd v Aston Villa, 2-1
Stoke v Wigan, 1-0
Sunderland v Portsmouth, 3-0
Tottenham v Wolverhampton, 3-0

Posted by harrison.s | Report as abusive
 

Birmingham v West Ham, 1-2
Bolton v Man City, 0-3
Burnley v Fulham, 1-1
Chelsea v Everton, 3-1
Hull v Blackburn, 1-3
Liverpool v Arsenal, 2-1
Man Utd v Aston Villa, 1-2
Stoke v Wigan, 2-2
Sunderland v Portsmouth, 2-0
Tottenham v Wolverhampton, 3-0

Posted by UTV | Report as abusive
 

utv puts his predictions in after the stoke v wigan game to give him self a perfect, im finking minus points for that.

Posted by harrison.s | Report as abusive
 

Actually I posted it at halftime but looks like it got approved after the game ended. Will skip all points on that game, I should get a bonus one for being the only one to predict an Aston victory…

Posted by UTV | Report as abusive
 

Thanks Mark, will not say no to them as I am far behind the rest. Are we having a go for the mid-week games?

Posted by UTV | Report as abusive
 

New blog on this week’s matches up there now at http://blogs.reuters.com/soccer/2009/12/ 15/christmas-has-come-early-midweek-pred iction-special/

Posted by Kevin Fylan | Report as abusive
 

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