More primary math, Boeing’s second chance, and DHS mission creep
1. Time to look at the late primary states and â€śfavorite sonâ€ť rules:
Two weeks ago, I suggested a story examining how the new rules requiring more proportional representation in awarding Republican primary and caucus delegates might force a deadlocked or brokered convention, because they could prevent even a front-runner like Mitt Romney from arriving in Tampa with the necessary majority of delegates even if he wins an overwhelming majority of the state contests. With it looking likely at least for now that Romney may not even be able to rely on winning most of the primaries and caucuses, the probability that a majority will elude all candidates seems higher.
So itâ€™s time for stories about the rules and the candidatesâ€™ prospects in the large states with nominating contests that come after Florida and even after the much-heralded Super Tuesday on Mar. 6. For example, Texas, Maryland and Wisconsin come on Apr. 3 â€“ and will award more than twice the delegates at stake in the four contests held through next weekâ€™s Florida primary. New York and Pennsylvania happen on Apr. 24; Indiana, North Carolina and West Virginia are on May 8; and California and New Jersey, among others, are on Jun. 5.
Iâ€™m looking for a story that explains, among other things, the rules regarding delegates pledged to one candidate being shifted to another. To take the obvious example, if Rick Santorum builds up even a modest number of delegates that could put someone else over the top, to what extent could he persuade them to move to Gingrich or Romney? (Suppose one of them hints at the vice-presidential spot for him.) If Santorum could deliver delegates to Gingrich, then the notion of him having to drop out to help Newt overcome Romney would be wrong; it would be better to have two anti-Romney flavors out there to choose from for a while.
Indeed, all kinds of rules are now likely to count — a lot — and need to be explained. Another example: Because Florida was penalized 50 percent of its delegates for holding its primary before the rules allow it to, Newt Gingrichâ€™s home state of Georgia has 50 percent more delegates than Florida (76 compared with 50). Then again, Florida is a winner-take-all state, meaning whoever wins by one vote gets all 50 delegates; Georgiaâ€™s are allocated in part on a winner-take-all basis for each congressional district and in part on a complicated proportional basis.
As for Texas, Indiana and New Jersey, we need some coverage on what the rules are for â€śfavorite son candidacies,â€ť a tool used in the bygone era of brokered conventions that allowed a local governor or senator to run in his stateâ€™s primary ostensibly to get control of the stateâ€™s delegates. He could then award those delegates to another candidate, or sometimes he would become a candidate himself in a brokered convention. Could New Jerseyâ€™s Chris Christie or Indianaâ€™s Mitch Daniels emerge that way? Could the much-diminished Texas Governor Rick Perry become a kingmaker of sorts if he can get control of a chunk of his state’s proportionately allocated 155 delegates?
2. Is failure ever a disqualifier for government contractors?
I was amazed to see a glossy ad on the back page of the National Journal last week trumpeting the â€śProven Experienceâ€ť of the â€śBoeing border security system.â€ť As with many of the ads in this Washington-based, high-priced weekly, this one was meant to promote a government contractorâ€™s credentials in advance of the award of a major new contract â€“ in this case a program calledÂ â€śIntegrated Fixed Towers,â€ť or ITF.
A government website for ITF declares that the program will pay a contractor to deploy sensor towers along the countryâ€™s border in order to provide information on the ground to Border Patrol agents looking to catch people trying to sneak in.
Whatâ€™s so surprising about the Boeing ad is that anyone familiar with the Department of Homeland Securityâ€™s border security efforts over the last 10 years will regale you with stories about a fiasco called the Secure Border Initiative Network, whose acronym was â€śSBInet.â€ť SBInet was canceled in early 2011, years after its â€śvirtual border fenceâ€ť was supposed to have been completed. Billions were poured down the drain on high-tech equipment that just plain never worked. Such unexpected factors as rain, animals or even birds flummoxed the big-ticket sensors, despite the contractorâ€™s promises in its proposal that everything had been tested and would work flawlessly.
The lead contractor on SBInet? You guessed it: Boeing. Only in Washington would we see the government contractor-equivalent of the skipper of the Titanic (or the Costa Concordia) take an ad promoting its credentials to get a few billion more for the same assignment. Iâ€™d love to see a story asking Boeing CEO W. James McNerney, Jr. exactly what the â€śexperience based on real operational performanceâ€ť is that his company refers to in the ad. Isn’t the ad meant to help the company win the new contract for a program apparently meant to succeed where Boeing and SBInet failed?
When the program was canceled (amid much chuckling from rival contractors that had lost out to Boeing), Boeing cited changing requirements and unexpected conditions that had hampered the program, but also said progress had been made in getting the equipment to work. Yet the simple fact is that the contract was scrapped in a world where few such contracts ever get canceled outright. Nonetheless, if McNerney has a better explanation, that would also be an essential part of the story.
More than that, at a time when the failure of government has enraged most Americans, how about a story tackling the rules and customs related to these kinds of contractor failures? Is the pitch that Boeing makes in its written proposal for the contract required to be more, uh, candid than this ad? In fact, why wouldnâ€™t Boeing be disqualified from competing for new work that wouldnâ€™t be necessary but for its earlier failure? If not, is it conceivable as a practical matter that DHS procurement bureaucrats would give the new work to Boeing? Iâ€™d love to hear their explanation for even considering Boeing and to find out how often this kind of failure is forgotten and the contractor gets awarded a do-over.
3. Mission creep at the Department of Homeland Security:
Speaking of the Department of Homeland Security, I recently came across this headline in the trade publication Government Security News, which covers DHS:
â€śDHS To Attend Online Dating Conference in Miami Beach.â€ť An official in the departmentâ€™s â€śComputer Emergency Readiness Teamâ€ť was traveling to Miami Beach â€śto discuss deceptive dating tactics,â€ť the story reported.
The next day a press release from DHS announced that Secretary Janet Napolitano was participating on Jan. 11 in a â€śHuman Trafficking Round Table.â€ť
Of course, the dangers of online dating are real, as is the tragedy of human trafficking. But donâ€™t these activities by officials of the agency created in the wake of 9/11 to protect us from terrorism suggest a bit of mission creep? It seems time for a good look at DHS and Secretary Napolitano (who seems, from the DHS press releases I see from time to time, often to be away from the store making speeches and going to conferences).
PHOTO: Republican presidential candidate and former House Speaker Newt Gingrich gestures during his victory speech at his South Carolina Primary election night rally in Columbia, South Carolina, January 21, 2012. REUTERS/Eric Thayer