Investment strategy Correspondent
Sujata's Feed
Apr 15, 2014

Ratcheting Ukraine fears pressure assets, rate hike lifts hryvnia

LONDON, April 15 (Reuters) – Ukraine’s hryvnia jumped from
recent record lows on Tuesday after a 300-basis-point (bps)
interest rate rise but ratcheting tensions with neighbouring
Russia kept up pressure on regional as well as broader emerging
markets.

Russia declared Ukraine on the brink of civil war as Kiev
said an “anti-terrorist operation” against pro-Moscow
separatists was under way, though the crackdown appeared to get
off to a slow start.

Apr 8, 2014
via Global Investing

Buying back into emerging markets

After almost a year of selling emerging markets, investors seem to be returning in force. The latest to turn positive on the asset class is asset and wealth manager Pictet Group (AUM: 265 billion pounds) which said on Tuesday its asset management division (clarifies division of Pictet) was starting to build positions on emerging equities and local currency debt. It has an overweight position on the latter for the first time since it went underweight last July.

Local emerging debt has been out of favour with investors because of how volatile currencies have been since last May, For an investor who is funding an emerging market investments from dollars or euros, a fast-falling rand can wipe out any gains he makes on a South African bond. But the rand and its peers such as the Turkish lira, Indian rupee, Indonesian rupiah and Brazilan real — at the forefront of last year’s selloff –  have stabilised from the lows hit in recent months.  According to Pictet Asset Management:

Apr 8, 2014

In low-yield world, defaulters to get warm welcome back

LONDON (Reuters) – From Greece to Ecuador to Pakistan, countries that not long ago saddled bondholders with multi-billion dollar defaults, are set to re-enter global markets, cashing in on investors’ desperate need for higher-yielding assets.

With debt yields in the euro zone at multi-year lows and 30-year U.S. Treasuries offering less than 3.6 percent, investors are again scrambling for higher-return assets – a hunger that such pariah credits, are well placed to satisfy.

Apr 7, 2014

Russian assets lead way lower on renewed tensions with Ukraine

LONDON, April 7 (Reuters) – Russian stocks tumbled more than
1 percent on Monday and the rouble slipped on worries over
renewed tensions with Ukraine while broader emerging equities
and currencies also eased, tracking moves on global markets.

Pro-Russian protesters seized official buildings in several
eastern Ukrainian cities on the weekend, including the mining
city of Donetsk. They demanded a referendum on whether to join
Russia like that held in Crimea that paved the way for its
annexation by Russia.

Apr 4, 2014

Cash trickles back to emerging markets, faces growth challenge

LONDON, April 4 (Reuters) – Investors are starting to move
back in to emerging stocks and bonds after a long hiatus, data
from fund tracker EPFR shows, but the economic slowdown gripping
the developing world is likely to constrain market rallies.

Emerging stock and bond funds saw their first weekly inflows
after more than $50 billion fled in the first three months of
2014, with equities snapping a 22-week losing streak,
Boston-based EPFR Global said.

Apr 4, 2014

Emerging mkts slip before US jobs; lira hit by PM comments

LONDON, April 4 (Reuters) – The Turkish lira slumped half a
percent on Friday, moving off recent three-month highs as
comments from the prime minister renewed fears of political
interference, leading a general emerging market retreat before
U.S. jobs data.

Investors were waiting for the March U.S. non-farm payrolls
later in the day to see if the world’s biggest economy is
finally regaining momentum after an extreme winter. A robust
jobs report could prompt the Federal Reserve to step up the pace
of stimulus withdrawal – broadly seen as a negative for emerging
markets.

Apr 4, 2014

Emerging funds snap losing streak after over $50bln Q1 outflows

LONDON, April 4 (Reuters) – Emerging market stock and bond
funds saw their first inflows over the past week after over $50
billion fled in the first three months of 2014, with equities
snapping a 22-week losing streak, data from EPFR Global shows.

The Boston-based fund tracker, which tracks funds with $23
trillion in assets, released details of first quarter flows late
on Thursday, showing that all emerging equity fund categories
had shed $41 billion, following $26.7 billion losses in 2013.

Apr 1, 2014
via Global Investing

Ukraine and the IMF: a sense of deja vu

The West has just agreed to stump up a load of cash for Ukraine but there is a distinct sense of deja vu around it all.

Let’s face it – Ukraine’s track record on how it manages ts economy and foreign affairs isn’t great. This is the third aid programme Kiev has signed with the International Monetary Fund in a decade and two of them have failed. The IMF has its fingers crossed that this one will not go the way of the past two. Reza Moghadam, the IMF’s top European official, tells Reuters in an interview:

Apr 1, 2014

Investors cast fresh eye on battered emerging stocks

LONDON, April 1 (Reuters) – Investors are starting to look
afresh at emerging equities after years in which the sector has
been a consensus “sell”.

Barclays, Citi, HSBC, Morgan Stanley and Societe Generale
are among banks now advising clients to buy back in – albeit
selectively – after a prolonged sell-off that has slashed
valuations.

Mar 31, 2014

Emerging market quarterly bond issuance tops $100 bln

LONDON, March 31 (Reuters) – Emerging market borrowers
raised just over $100 billion worth of debt in the first quarter
of 2014, slightly below year-ago levels as geopolitical noise
and uncertainty over U.S. Federal Reserve plans dampened
investor appetite.

Emerging sovereign and corporate issuers launched $106.2
billion in hard currency bonds between Jan. 1 and March 27, data
compiled by Thomson Reuters shows, well below the $124.5 billion
that was launched in the first quarter of 2013.