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May 19, 2015

Euro zone on sustainable recovery; growth to remain weak-Reuters poll

May 19 (Reuters) – The euro zone economy is on a sustainable
recovery path although growth will plateau from here on,
according to a majority of economists polled by Reuters.

But the risk of a Greek debt default, along with a recent
run up in oil prices, has kept economists cautious and reluctant
to forecast a major revival.

May 8, 2015

Rupee to remain weak on Fed-fueled dollar rally; yuan seen stable – Reuters poll

BENGALURU (Reuters) – The rupee will remain weak against the dollar over the coming year on expectations that an impending rate hike by the Federal Reserve will boost U.S. bond yields and investors will shun emerging economies, a Reuters poll showed.

Bond yield differentials traditionally drive currencies by influencing where investors put their money but massive amounts of central bank stimulus and money printing since the financial crisis has dented yields in developed economies.

May 8, 2015

Indian rupee to remain weak on Fed-fueled dollar rally; yuan seen stable

BENGALURU, May 8 (Reuters) – The Indian rupee will remain
weak against the dollar over the coming year on expectations
that an impending rate hike by the Federal Reserve will boost
U.S. bond yields and investors will shun emerging economies, a
Reuters poll showed.

Bond yield differentials traditionally drive currencies by
influencing where investors put their money but massive amounts
of central bank stimulus and money printing since the financial
crisis has dented yields in developed economies.

May 6, 2015

Dollar to resume rally soon on Fed hike expectations: Reuters poll

By Sumanta Dey

(Reuters) – The U.S. dollar will soon resume its rally, provided the economy recovers from a weak start to the year sufficiently to justify an interest rate hike from the Federal Reserve, a Reuters poll showed.

The greenback has rallied some 20 percent since last summer in a nearly one-directional move after a raft of strong economic data in the United States raised the chance of a rate hike, at a time when other central banks have eased policy to fight deflation risks.

Apr 15, 2015
via MacroScope

BOC to hold this year? Probably not say nearly half the primary dealers

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The Bank of Canada will almost certainly hold policy steady on Wednesday but nearly half of the banks who do business directly with it predict at least one more rate cut this year.

But just what another 25 basis point cut, over and above a similar unexpected easing in January, will achieve is unclear.

Apr 14, 2015
via MacroScope

Surprise monetary policy moves may become new norm in India

Photo

For all the measures India’s central bank has taken to increase transparency in policy making, predicting rate moves by Governor Raghuram Rajan is still difficult.

After two surprise rate cuts since January, both times outside of scheduled meetings, the chatter of another off-cycle easing has increased after data on Monday showed consumer inflation slowed unexpectedly to a three-month low in March.

Apr 10, 2015

Reuters poll – Asia currencies seen pinned down as Fed readies to hike rates

By Sumanta Dey

(Reuters) – Emerging Asian currencies are seen likely to weaken against the dollar over the coming year on expectations the U.S. Federal Reserve will start hiking interest rates, although any losses are likely to be limited, a Reuters poll found.

Still, a Reuters poll on Thursday found respondents believed emerging market currencies are unlikely to rebound from decade- or record-lows, despite doubts about the timing of the Fed hike.

Apr 10, 2015

Asia currencies seen pinned down as Fed readies to hike rates

April 10 (Reuters) – Emerging Asian currencies are seen
likely to weaken against the dollar over the coming year on
expectations the U.S. Federal Reserve will start hiking interest
rates, although any losses are likely to be limited, a Reuters
poll found.

Still, a Reuters poll on Thursday found respondents
believed emerging market currencies are unlikely to rebound
from decade- or record-lows, despite doubts about the timing of
the Fed hike.

Mar 31, 2015

China, East Asian stocks to extend rally on central bank easing: Reuters poll

BENGALURU (Reuters) – Shares in China and other East Asian markets will extend their rally this year, buoyed by additional policy easing expected from Beijing and other regional central banks, a Reuters poll showed.

The Shanghai Composite Index .SSEC has had a stellar run, surging over 17 percent so far this year to seven-year highs, after a 50 percent leap in 2014.

Mar 31, 2015

China, East Asian stocks to extend rally on central bank easing

BENGALURU, March 31 (Reuters) – Shares in China and other
East Asian markets will extend their rally this year, buoyed by
additional policy easing expected from Beijing and other
regional central banks, a Reuters poll showed.

The Shanghai Composite Index has had a stellar run,
surging over 17 percent so far this year to seven-year highs,
after a 50 percent leap in 2014.

    • About Sumanta

      "Sumanta Dey is poll and economic data correspondent for Asia on the Reuters Polls team. Based out of Bangalore, he is responsible for overseeing polling efforts in the region as well as handling several key projects. He first joined the Bangalore newsroom in 2006 and returned after a stint at software giant Infosys, where he managed analytics projects of a global consumer products manufacturer. He holds an economics degree from Bangalore University."
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