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Jul 23, 2015

Euro zone growth to plateau from here on, inflation seen weak: Reuters poll

By Sumanta Dey

(Reuters) – The euro zone economy looks set for a prolonged period of modest growth and low inflation, according to a Reuters poll, with expectations from the start of the year that growth was about to accelerate having all but evaporated.

A sharp fall in global oil prices last year raised hopes of a boost to consumer spending which, coupled with the European Central Bank’s stimulus program and a weaker currency, would accelerate the growth momentum seen in the first quarter.

Jul 14, 2015

New debt deal has not knocked ‘Grexit’ off the table: Reuters poll

By Sumanta Dey

(Reuters) – Greece may have avoided crashing out of the euro for now by agreeing to creditors’ demands for sweeping reforms in return for cash, but economists are split on whether the deal is good for either party or even if ‘Grexit’ is off the table.

Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras, in a U-turn from his leftist policies, bowed to lenders on Monday and agreed to enact crushing reforms, raise taxes, deepen austerity and sell public assets while surrendering sovereignty to outside supervision.

Jul 14, 2015

New debt deal has not knocked ‘Grexit’ off the table: poll

By Sumanta Dey

(Reuters) – Greece may have avoided crashing out of the euro for now by agreeing to creditors’ demands for sweeping reforms in return for cash, but economists are split on whether the deal is good for either party or even if ‘Grexit’ is off the table.

Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras, in a U-turn from his leftist policies, bowed to lenders on Monday and agreed to enact crushing reforms, raise taxes, deepen austerity and sell public assets while surrendering sovereignty to outside supervision.

Jul 14, 2015

New debt deal has not knocked ‘Grexit’ off the table

July 14 (Reuters) – Greece may have avoided crashing out of
the euro for now by agreeing to creditors’ demands for sweeping
reforms in return for cash, but economists are split on whether
the deal is good for either party or even if ‘Grexit’ is off the
table.

Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras, in a U-turn from his
leftist policies, bowed to lenders on Monday and agreed to enact
crushing reforms, raise taxes, deepen austerity and sell public
assets while surrendering sovereignty to outside supervision.

Jul 8, 2015

Greece fast approaching euro exit door: economists

By Sumanta Dey

(Reuters) – Greece may be about to become the first country to step through the exit door and leave the euro zone, according to a Reuters poll that put the chances of the monetary union breaking up at more than 50 percent for the first time.

Euro zone members have given Greece a final deadline of Sunday to come up with a proposal for sweeping reforms in return for loans that will keep the country from crashing out of Europe’s currency bloc and into economic ruin.

Jul 8, 2015

Greece fast approaching euro exit door -economists-Reuters poll

July 8 (Reuters) – Greece may be about to become the first
country to step through the exit door and leave the euro zone,
according to a Reuters poll that put the chances of the monetary
union breaking up at more than 50 percent for the first time.

Euro zone members have given Greece a final deadline of
Sunday to come up with a proposal for sweeping reforms in return
for loans that will keep the country from crashing out of
Europe’s currency bloc and into economic ruin.

Jun 25, 2015

Higher policy rates to push up major sovereign bond yields: Reuters poll

By Sumanta Dey

(Reuters) – Major government bond yields will rise over the next year on expectations of higher policy rates in the United States and possibly Britain, although a subdued inflation outlook will cap increases, a Reuters poll predicted.

After years in which near-zero interest rates and central bank stimulus have kept yields super-low or negative, a bond market sell-off in the last three months has seen benchmark German, U.S. and British sovereign bond yields spike upwards.

Jun 23, 2015

France drives euro zone business surge in June; China, Japan lag

By Sumanta Dey and Wayne Cole

(Reuters) – A resurgence of activity in France helped euro zone businesses expand at their fastest rate in four years this month, the clearest sign yet that the European Central Bank’s stimulus is driving a solid recovery in the region.

But loose monetary policy in China and Japan failed to prevent factory activity there from contracting, Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) surveys showed.

Jun 23, 2015

Euro zone business growth accelerates in June to four-year high: PMI

June 23 (Reuters) – - Euro zone private businesses expanded at their fastest pace in four years this month, a survey showed on Tuesday, providing the clearest signs yet of a solid recovery in the region.

The bright readings for the euro zone were complimented by surveys out of Germany and France, the bloc’s two largest economies, which showed both factories and services firms grew much more quickly than expected.

Jun 16, 2015

Even chance of Greece default; one-in-three probability of exit: Reuters poll

By Sumanta Dey

(Reuters) – There is an even chance of Greece defaulting on its debt payments, according to economists polled by Reuters, although the probability of it leaving the euro zone is still only one-in-three.

After months of negotiations between Greece and its creditors, talks abruptly derailed on Sunday leaving Athens with about two weeks to find a way out of the deadlock before a 1.6 billion euro ($1.8 billion) payment to the International Monetary Fund is due.

    • About Sumanta

      "Sumanta Dey is poll and economic data correspondent for Asia on the Reuters Polls team. Based out of Bangalore, he is responsible for overseeing polling efforts in the region as well as handling several key projects. He first joined the Bangalore newsroom in 2006 and returned after a stint at software giant Infosys, where he managed analytics projects of a global consumer products manufacturer. He holds an economics degree from Bangalore University."
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