Rollercoaster ride may be over, Ortiz says

May 8, 2009

                                          But we still have the bumper cars…
   Mexico’s central bank Gov. Guillermo Ortiz thinks the world economic crisis is probably past the worst but warned growth in the third quarter could contract on an annual basis.
    Speaking at the Reuters Latin American Investment Summit, Ortiz — who also fronts the Bank for International Settlements — said there is a growing sensation that the crisis may have bottomed. Inflation in Mexico is likely to decline, helped by lower demand and the peso stopping its free fall against the dollar. 
 Two types of market interventions since October, where the government sold dollars to ease pressure on the exchange rate, have managed to pull back the peso to levels of just above 13 per greenback, a gain of about 19 percent from its March all-time low.
    Ortiz also said the central bank is touching base with key market players to evaluate if a second auction of short-term dollar credits, aimed at triggering lending to companies once again, is needed.

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We also believe that things have bottomed out.

However, we should be thinking of how to prevent such events…not just breathe a sigh of relief.

Since it was the wheeler dealers in financial institutions, markets and trading that brought this on…perhaps repealing the Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act might be a good first step, i.e., separate investment banking from deposit banking as was done by the Glass-Steagall Act in 1933 and as was repealed by “Gramm” in 1999.

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