Reuters Blogs

Summit Notebook

Exclusive outtakes from industry leaders

Archive for the ‘Summit’ Category

October 19th, 2009

Washington divided, more trouble ahead for Obama?

Posted by: Ruben Ramirez

Washington insiders say that not since the 1890’s have the people that represent the U.S. been so divided. From Gay rights to Afghanistan lawmakers are at polar opposites on issues that are on the Obama administration’s agenda. What’s next? And, what’s likely to get the green light or the stop sign?

October 5th, 2009

Wealth Management: What does the future hold?

Posted by: Ruben Ramirez

Even the rich aren’t as well-off as they were a year ago but that’s not stopping the wealth management industry from focusing on what the future of private banking will look like after the economic downturn has passed. Click below to view my latest story:

September 28th, 2009

Stop lumping us together! say Central Europeans

Posted by: Adam Cox

An invitation to the Reuters Central European Investment Summit may sound perfectly acceptable to many policy makers and executives but not to Czech central banker Mojmir Hampl. It’s not that he objected to visiting our Vienna office and being interviewed by a crew of editors — Hampl was ready and willing to do that. He just questioned the very idea of lumping together all the different countries in a very diverse region.

 

“I’m a bit disappointed that the key topic is how the Central and Eastern European region will develop,” Hampl told us, reviving a complaint often heard around the region. It’s a serious issue, one that has bothered many policy makers in central European countries, who grew frustrated at the height of the financial crisis that investors were not differentiating between those with sound fundamentals such as the Czech Republic and Poland and those on decidedly shakier ground.

 

“We’ve spent some time explaining the differences,” Hampl said, making little effort to disguise his irritation with the rest of the world’s tendency to think about central Europe as a homogeneous region. “If you look at the GDP per capita in PPP (purchasing price parity) terms…between the United States and Panama it’s not as huge as the GDP difference in PPP terms between Ukraine and Slovenia.”

 

Ludwik Sobolewski, head of the Warsaw Stock Exchange, struck a similar chord. ”In the second half of 2008 the Polish economy and stock exchange were treated very much as all other markets in our
region…  We suffered a lot from this negative assessment of the region triggered by some countries we all remember… Ukraine, Hungary, the three Baltic states.”

 

Sobolewski likes to point out that Poland is the sole country in the European Union whose economy has grown during each of the past three quarters.

 

Mojmir Hampl at the Reuters Central European Investment Summit, September 28, 2009. REUTERS/Leonhard Foeger

 

September 28th, 2009

The Nowotny-shaped recovery

Posted by: Sylvia Westall

 

By Petra Spescha

 

European economists have been nearly unanimous about what Europe’s recovery from the crisis will look like on a chart: L-shaped — a severe slump with a prolonged period of flat or minimal improvements in the economy.

 

But at the Reuters Central European Investment Summit Ewald Nowotny created a new shape when he tried to clarify a statement he made to an Austrian newspaper earlier this month about the economic turnaround.

 

“It was not a real L-shape –it was an L which was a bit upward bending,” Nowotny, who is on the European Central Bank’s Governing Council, said.

 

So it appears Nowotny, an economics professor, takes a less pessimistic view of the recovery than we previously thought. Not quite a rebounding ‘V’ shape or a steady ‘U’-shaped rise but somewhere in-between those shapes and the downbeat ‘L.’

 

Nowotny said last month there was unlikely to be a ‘W-shaped’ recession if exit strategies are timed well. He talked more about exit strategies, rates and the economic outlook here.

 

Ewald Nowotny gestures during the Reuters Central European Investment Summit, September 28, 2009. REUTERS/Leonhard Foeger

September 25th, 2009

Emerging Europe - what’s next?

Posted by: Sylvia Westall

 

Reuters Central European Investment Summit, September 28-30, 2009

 

The former Communist countries of central Europe have been the last to be hit by the global economic crisis, but th e hit they took was among the hardest. Only big neighbour Russia’s deep plunge into recession is rivaling the sharp fall from record economic growth that’s in store this year for the economies between the former Soviet Union and Western Europe.

 

Global risk aversion and deleveraging exposed the weaknesses that the countries had been able to gloss over during the boom years – which in retrospect appeared to have been, in some countries, a colossal binge bankrolled by cheap foreign credit extended by Western European banks that had to come to an end when funding dried up.

 

Even the specter of a region-wide meltdown lingered over the countries this winter as investors turned a blind eye on the differences between fundamentally sound countries like Poland, and Ukraine, Hungary or Romania, which could avert the threat of default, social unrest and instability only with aid from the IMF and the European Union.

 

But since the IMF and the EU moved in and made clear they would let no country fail, a pickup in risk appetite has driven up emerging European assets to the extent that some investors already worry about the next bubble inflating.

 

Worries remain. Many of the region’s export-geared countries’ recovery will depend on a return of demand for their exports in Western Europe. Unemployment is on the rise. Budget deficits balloon. And the mostly Western-owned banks still face an inevitable rise in bad debt that will continue well into next year and could thwart a fledgling economic pickup.

 

Key policymakers and corporate leaders will discuss these and related issues at the Reuters Central European Investment Summit on Sept. 28-30 in Vienna and Warsaw. We will be blogging about it here.

 

Poland’s Prime Minister Donald Tusk gestures as he speaks during a conference at the Warsaw Stock Exchange August 28, 2009. REUTERS/Kacper Pempel

September 14th, 2009

Moscow: The least worst place for your money

Posted by: Melissa Akin

   Russian investment bank Renaissance Capital was a big backer of Moscow’s ambition to become a major emerging-markets financial centre, a bridge between European and Asian capital, a rival to Dubai.

    It not only trumpeted the idea, but was one of the first big local firms to take out offices in a sleek glass skyscraper by the Moscow River, surrounded by foundation pits and towers of naked steel girders that were to become Moscow’s Canary Wharf.

 
    Then the financial crisis hit in September 2008, knocking back the city’s ambitions.
 
    Renaissance Capital President Ruben Aganbegyan said, however, that other world financial centres were inadvertently helping Moscow’s case despite its setbacks.
 
    “A lot of people in the world are doing everything they can to help us,” Aganbegyan told the 2009 Reuters Russian Investment Summit. “Like the UK raising taxes.”
    Russia instituted a 13 percent flat income tax rate in 2001 to stop rampant tax evasion. Earlier in the day, Finance Minister Alexei Kudrin told the summit that Russia would try to avoid raising taxes to cover budget deficits for at least three years
September 11th, 2009

Note to OPEC: Siberia not Saudi

Posted by: Melissa Akin
   An episodic courtship between Russia, the world’s second largest oil exporter and its sometime rivals in the OPEC group of oil exporting nations, went cold at the beginning of this year when Russia failed to make good on hints that it might cut output in line with OPEC, dominated by Saudi Arabia and other desert states of the Middle East.
    Prices for oil, the economic lifeblood of Russia and OPEC countries alike, had fallen below $40, OPEC argued, and supply cuts had to be made to boost prices and finance investment into the oil industry.
    Alexander Medvedev, deputy chief executive of Russian energy giant Gazprom, told this year’s Reuters Russia Investment Summit that Russia had an excuse for avoiding the multimillion barrel cuts imposed by OPEC: the Siberian chill .
   It is a very simple explanation for this: We are not in a desert where it’s easily to regulate, we are in an extreme situation in Siberia where reserves could be damaged if you up and down your production levels.”
    If Russia shuts down Siberian wells, its industry members argue, they could seize up forever as they go cold.
    And Russia hardly left OPEC hanging, Medvedev argued: The financial crisis took its toll even on Russia’s cash rich oil companies: “Actually the supply was substantially lower in the first half of the year.” 
     Medvedev also said he was still struggling to understand where from the rival Nabucco pipeline will get its gas to rival Gazprom on European markets.
     “Even at the (Nabucco) signing ceremony I looked at the photos and tried to find any gas supplier and with all my attempts I could not find any. And it looked strange.”

September 9th, 2009

BrightSource CEO talks about building carbon-free future

Posted by: Peter Henderson

John Woolard, the chief executive of solar thermal energy company BrightSource, sat down at Reuters’ Global Climate and Alternative Energy Summit in San Francisco to talk about energy efficiency, project financing and the future  of carbon-free power.

His advice: build fast!

(Editing/video by Courtney Hoffman)

August 31st, 2009

China’s evolving role from producer to consumer

Posted by: Ruben Ramirez

Hardly a day goes by now without some Chinese firm striking a deal to buy assets overseas, but the country’s best prospects for growth may be right in its own backyard. Vivi Lin in Beijing reports on how the world’s workshop is fast becoming one of the world’s top consumers.

August 25th, 2009

Exclusive look inside Sweden’s greenest paper mill

Posted by: Ruben Ramirez

For most of us, printing e-mails or making copies is just part of the daily routine in the office. But, the paper we use does come from somewhere. Last week, we had the opportunity to visit Stora Enso’s Nymolla Mill in southern Sweden to get an exclusive look at how MultiCopy paper is made. Nymolla is an integrated mill (it produces pulp and paper on the same site) and most of the wood used is sourced locally. Also interesting, the mill is the only one I could find in the world that emits zero carbon dioxide from fossil fuels during the paper making process. Check out my look inside the Nymolla Mill.

Inside Sweden’s greenest paper mill from Reuters TV on Vimeo.