Summit Notebook

Does Germany need Europe?

Jim O’Neill, the new Goldman Sachs Asset Management chairman who is famous for coining the term BRICs for the world’s new emerging economic giants, reckons he knows why Germany might not be rushing to bail out all the euro zone debt that is under pressure. Europe is not as important to Berlin as it was.

Speaking at the Reuters 2011 Investment Outlook Summit being held in London and New York, O’Neill pointed out that in the not very distant future Germany will have more trade with China than it does with France.

“It’s a different global environment. That’s why maybe Germany (ties)  itself to a rules-based game with the rest of Europe because economically it doesn’t mean so much to them now. What goes on in China is more important than what goes on in France and that’s puts a different economic (spin) on the situation for the Germans.”

O’ Neill also drew parallels between the current situation which sees Germany being asked to stump up for ill-disciplined  southern euro zone economies and the problems faced in 1990 when West Germany had to do something similar for East Germany.

“Fast forward 20 years and this time (they are saying) it’s not even our own  people. I think the Germans will stay pro-European ,  but it’s  a different  set of circumstances.”

The idea that Germany and others will eventually sort out the euro zone debt problem because of a desire for political unity underlies much of the long-term expectations for euro zone survival. But it is a new world, in many ways.

Gregg sees Republican victory in November as keeping Obama in check

If Republicans are able to capture either chamber of the U.S. Congress in the November election, they will use that power to try to block any further expansion of the federal government by the Obama administration, Republican Senator Judd Gregg said on Wednesday.

“I think clearly going into the next Congress, if you have one or the other houses controlled by the Republican party, you’re going to have much more financial discipline, there’s no question of that,” Gregg, who is from New Hampshire and is retiring after the election, told the Reuters Washington Summit.

Republicans lost control of both the House and Senate in the last two election cycles, in part because they strayed from their position of holding the line on federal spending during the Bush administration. As the economy slowly recovers from the worst recession in decades, the deficit and the mounting debt have become major themes in the 2010 congressional elections.

“We won’t be able to set the agenda in the sense that the president sets the agenda, but we will at least be able to control the expansiveness of the government and slow the rate of growth and start to raise the issues that are important for being fiscally disciplined,” Gregg said, noting that “we can’t overpromise because we don’t control the presidency.”

He said that New Hampshire voters chose Democrats in the last two elections because they thought Republicans had walked away from their traditional principle of fiscal discipline and supported the Iraq war. Candidates running in the state this time are dedicated to returning to fiscal conservativism, he said.

However, he offered some caution that Republicans can only do so much without controlling the White House.

“The presidency is still extremely strong, and I don’t think anybody is overpromising what can occur,” he said.

The secret lives of auto executives

Ed Whitacre sneaks off to breakfast at a Detroit greasy spoon. Sergio Marchionne’s attention to detail extends to the condition of his factories’ bathrooms. And Bill Ford helped save his great-grandfather’s company by hocking the blue oval. 

These are just a few of the glimmers of top Detroit auto executives’ lives that you get when you sit down with Ron Gettelfinger, head of the United Auto Workers union. 

Marchionne, the chief executive of Italian automaker Fiat — which pulled Chrysler out of bankruptcy this year, seems to be “extremely respectful” of his workforce, Gettelfinger told the Reuters Autos Summit in Detroit on Tuesday. 

“I know he’s went out into the facilities and one of the things that he did was walk into the restroom to inspect it. Now you don’t normally see that happen,” Gettelfinger said. “But he truly believes in the power of the people, the value they add to the process.” 

General Motors chairman Whitacre is also a fan of unannounced factory visits, a detail Gettelfinger may have picked up at one of their morning meetings. 

“There’s a little dive up the street that we go up here and have breakfast sometimes,” Gettelfinger said. 

He also recalled a call that came from then-Ford CEO Bill Ford three years ago, when the automaker was preparing a major debt offer — a move that helped it to be the only U.S. automaker to avoid bankruptcy this year. 

from John Irish:

Mid-East business leaders to discuss economic recovery

Starting Monday, Reuters is inviting  business leaders from various sectors in Dubai, Riyadh and Cairo to discuss key challenges facing them in the aftermath of the global financial crisis and the lessons they have learnt.

Is the downturn over or are we set for a double-dip? Will buyers flock back to Dubai's property bonanza or will they stay away for the foreseeable future? Will the oil-reliant economies of the Gulf manage to diversify as they had hoped at the start of the boom in 2002 or will they continue to rest on their barrels of crude? Read this for a preview.

Tinkering whilst debt burns

What have Liverpool Football Club, French building materials firm Materis and German forklift truck maker Kion got in common?

They have all been beneficiaries of European banks’ preference to tinker with company balance sheets rather than fundamentally restructure indebted businesses, one speaker said at this week’s restructuring summit.

However, such easy conditions — primarily because banks are reluctant to take big hits on their balance sheets — will not last long if banks’ balance sheets continue to strengthen, speakers said.

“Come the new year there will be a new spate of companies being allowed to go to the wall,” Blackstone’s Simon Davies said.

Tony Lomas, who heads the business recovery services group at PricewaterhouseCoopers, said many companies would need to go back to their banks for restructuring.

“I cannot see an upturn in the UK, Europe or the world that will be quick enough or healthy enough to sort these problems out,” he said.

Debt collecting gets…er, sexy?

Bank employees working in call centers and reminding clients of their overdue loans used to be as far to the bottom of the banking food chain as you could be. Not any more.

Raiffeisen International, the second-biggest lender in eastern Europe, has ramped up staff in its collections and risk management departments.

Active in 17 countries between the Czech Republic and Kazakhstan, it is exposed to a region that is among the hardest hit by the global financial crisis. Rampant loan growth of the last few years has turned into an equally rapid rise of bad debt.

“We substantially increased resources in our call centres, started new ones,“ Martin Gruell, Raiffeisen’s CFO, said ahead of the Reuters Central European Investment Summit in Vienna. “There are 40 percent more employees working in Collections than before the crisis.”

As it is struggling with the rising tide of non-performing loans – they more than doubled in the first half of the year – it has also shifted part of its pool for bonuses to those who are working on saving as much as possible of loans that have become overdue.

“Employees have targets and are getting bonuses depending on how much they are able to collect,” he said. Do they come at someone else’s expense? “Obviously, if there is not such a high demand on our salespeople, bonuses will be lower there.”

And Raiffeisen is feeling that its competitors are doing the same.