Sunny skies on Nov. 4 could help Obama

October 31, 2008

The gods could be smiling on Barack Obama come Nov. 4.

Weather forecasters AccuWeather.com predict sunny skies across much of the country on Election Day, and good weather has historically helped Democrats at the polls.

A 2005 study found that lousy weather typically helps Republicans, as less-dedicated voters who typically favor Democrats tend to stay home rather than wait in line in the rain and snow.

To be precise, turnout drops by just under 1 percent for every inch of rain, or one-half percent for every quarter inch of snow, according to University of Pittsburgh professor George Krause, who co-authored the study.

So what’s the outlook for Tuesday? Unseasonably dry and warm across most of the Lower 48 states, according to AccuWeather.

Showers are forecast for the Pacific Northwest and Upper Midwest, where polls show Obama leading Republican rival John McCain by substantial margins.

But the widespread popularity of early voting could lessen any weather-related impact on Tuesday’s vote, Krause told Accuweather.

A boost for McCain? Maybe not. A Pew Research Center study released earlier this week found that Obama leads McCain by 19 percentage points among those who have already cast their ballots.

Click here for more Reuters 2008 campaign coverage

- Photo credits: Reuters/Jason Reed (Obama on a warm October 31 in Iowa); Brian Snyder (McCain speaks at a sunny Ohio rally)

5 comments

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I never thought I would be praying for bad weather!!!

The thought of having a marxist, socialist, communist dictatorship governing our country is extremely scary.

Let is snow, rain, hail, freeze and blow howling winds on election day, nation wide.

Posted by Steve | Report as abusive

Good call, Steve. In order to avoid a “dictatorship,” let’s hope that nobody is able to vote.

“I never thought I would be praying for bad weather!!!

The thought of having a marxist, socialist, communist dictatorship governing our country is extremely scary.

Let is snow, rain, hail, freeze and blow howling winds on election day, nation wide.”

Posted by D | Report as abusive

Too bad you Exxon John McSame supporters couldn’t come up with a viable candidate for the presidency instead of hoping for inclement weather.

Thankfully, you are the minority in this great country of ours. Let Freedom Ring on sunny Novemeber 4th!!

Posted by LoL | Report as abusive

After seeing the Hbo special of the voter fraud that had been done in Florida , California , Michigan , and Ohio, with the voting machines, if my ballot is not a written one , with a #pencil, your vote is no good !!! Americans don’t trust the enept system anymore ! Screw George the Liar Bush, and screw Dick the crook Cheney! When its all over with ,and the Democrats bring forward on all charges of frauding the American People for the right to vote, (AND IT IS GOING TO HAPPEN!!!!)You two pieces of garbarge will go down in history , as the worse of the worse!! Move over Bendict arnold , your just a choir to these two SOB”S!!!!!! I am a ex republican as of today , I will vote for Obama!!

Posted by fpickern | Report as abusive

Ironic how global warming will be weighing in on election day to support the candidate who promises to fight it.

Posted by Dan | Report as abusive