Public forecast for Afghan strategy – stalemate

December 7, 2009

Americans have doubts over whether President Barack Obama’s new Afghanistan strategy will ultimately result in victory, but a majority say the war is morally justified.

A CNN/Opinion Research Corp poll finds that 57 percent said the most likely outcome for the United States in Afghanistan would be a stalemate, with 29 percent predicting victory.

AFGHANISTAN-USA/When asked whether a victory was possible or not possible, 58 percent of those surveyed said it was possible, while 41 percent said it was not possible.

But asked the same question about defeat, the responses were quite similar:  60 percent said defeat was possible, while 38 percent said defeat was not possible.

A majority — 63 percent — said U.S. action in Afghanistan was morally justified.

A column in The New Yorker says that this time the cliche is true: there are no good options in Afghanistan.

A Rasmussen Reports poll finds that 53 percent of American voters support Obama’s plan to send 30,000 more troops to Afghanistan and 47 percent support his plan to being withdrawing in 18 months — but only 20 percent agree with both parts of the strategy.

So it’s a bit of a confused muddle, but perhaps that is precisely where public opinion is…

Are you predicting victory or defeat for the Obama Afghan strategy?

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Photo credit: Reuters/Zohra Bensemra (U.S. soldier in Afghanistan)

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