Tales from the Trail

Reuters-Ipsos poll: Democrats hold slim leads in California races

October 5, 2010

Democrats are leading in top California races a month before the election, but by margins too tight to offer great comfort.

USA-POLITICS/Senator Barbara Boxer leads Republican challenger Carly Fiorina in the Senate race 49-45 percent among POLITICS-USA/likely voters, according to a Reuters-Ipsos poll conducted Oct. 2-4.

That 4-point difference is smaller than the 4.7 percentage point margin of error which shows how close the race is between the three-term senator and the former CEO of Hewlett-Packard. Ipsos pollsters say it is unlikely, with the higher margin of error and all, that the findings were reverse. Boxer has consistently had a lead over Fiorina in public opinion polls.

Democrat Jerry Brown has a 7-point lead over Republican Meg Whitman in the race for governor, 50-43 percent, among likely voters. USA-ELECTIONS/CALIFORNIA

The majority of registered voters, 88 percent, had heard the allegations that Whitman hired an undocumented housekeeper, but  72 percent said that information made no difference in how they plan to vote.

The Democratic candidates in both races are benefitting from Democrats’ large advantage among registered voters in California, Ipsos pollsters said.

Enthusiasm about the election improved among both Democrats and Republicans since June, with 75 percent of Democrats now saying they are certain to vote vs. 60 percent in June, and Republicans now 83 percent vs. 73 percent in June.

Other poll findings:

Proposition 19 — 53 percent of California voters oppose legalization of marijuana, while 43 percent are in favor.

Proposition 23 – 49 percent of California voters oppose suspending the state’s climate change laws, while 37 percent are in favor, and 14 percent are undecided.

Photo credit: Reuters/pool (Fiorina in radio debate with Boxer), Reuters/Jason Reed (Boxer in radio debate with Fiorina), Reuters/pool (Brown and Whitman at first debate),

Comments
2 comments so far | RSS Comments RSS

Supposedly, the party of no idea doesn’t go well with CA, the heart of technology.

The exciting fourth wave of smart grid & renewable energy with great job potential world-wide is perceived to call for eco-friendly representatives.

I feel the destructive wars stood in the way of progress in such high tech, which has resulted in a financial problem in CA.
Finally, the time seems to have come for CA to spread wings all across the world.

Posted by hsr0601 | Report as abusive
 

I’m sorry, but 600 people with 448 likely voters is a tiny sample size. I won’t trust these polls until you guys get at least 1000 people with 800 likely voters.

Posted by BFKelleher | Report as abusive
 

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