Reuters-Ipsos Poll: Obama approval drops to 43 pct driven by Democrats
President Barack Obama’s poll numbers keep going down, and it’s not the Republicans who are to blame.
Obama’s approval rating fell to a new low of 43 percent since he took office, down from 47 percent last month, according to a Reuters-Ipsos national poll.
Ipsos pollsters say it appears that much of that drop comes from Democrats whose approval of Obama fell to 70 percent from 78 percent last month.
Among likely voters, 48 percent said they will choose Republican candidates in the midterm elections, while 44 percent say they will vote for a Democrat. That gap narrowed in the full survey sample, with 44 percent saying they would vote for the Republican candidate vs. 43 percent for the Democrat.
Sixty-three percent said the country is on the wrong track, which was the highest since Obama took office. Sixty-five percent said creating jobs is what Congress should focus on in 2011, and most said the best indicator of economic recovery is a drop in the unemployment rate.
The economy topped the list of the most important problem facing the United States, while respondents did not mention the Iraq war.
“For the House specifically we’re talking about a 45 to 50 seat swing. Our estimate is a 48 seat swing in favor of Republicans, which suggests a House that would have something around 208 seats for Democrats and 227 seats for Republicans — so a significant gain,” Young said on Reuters Insider.
Are Republicans likely to gain control in the Senate? “There’s a chance but we think it’s unlikely. Our estimates suggest something around a 52 to 48 seat advantage to Democrats,” Young said.
The survey of 1,038 adults was conducted Oct. 7-11 and has a 3-point margin of error. In that sample were 720 likely voters with a margin of error of 3.7 points.
Photo credit: Reuters/Kevin Lamarque (Obama at George Washington University Oct. 12)