Tales from the Trail

Reuters/Ipsos poll: 52 pct don’t think Obama will be re-elected

November 1, 2010

President Barack Obama is not up for re-election this week, but the outcome of congressional elections will be seen as a referendum on his policies.

A Reuters/IpsosĀ  poll predicts that Republicans will take control of the House of Representatives by winning 231 seats, compared with 204 seats for Democrats, in the midterm elections Tuesday.

Among likely voters, 50 percent said they would vote for the Republican candidate, while 44 percent said they would vote for the Democrat, the poll showed. USA/

Looking ahead to the 2012 presidential election, 52 percent believe Obama will not win re-election, while 35 percent think he will.

The Reuters/Ipsos national survey found that 51 percent disapproved of the way Obama is doing his job, while 45 percent approved.

The Obama administration received the worst ratings for its handling of the economy, taxes and the deficit — all key election issues this year. On the Iraq war and the environment, the administration was seen has having made a positive difference, according to the poll.

Other recent polls:

USA Today/Gallup poll finds that those surveyed plan to vote for the Republican candidate by a 55-40 percent margin, the widest since 1974 when Democrats had the lead in the aftermath of the Watergate scandal.

60 Minutes/Vanity Fair poll finds that 39 percent of those surveyed believe Obama should be a one-term president, compared with 26 percent who think he should be re-elected, and 33 percent who are unsure.

Photo credit: Reuters/Jim Young (Obama at rally in Philadelphia Oct. 10)

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