Will voters switch parties on Election Day?

March 2, 2016

 

Presidential front-runners Republican Donald Trump (L) and Democrat Hillary Clinton (R) in Miami, Florida at their respective Super Tuesday primaries  on March 1, 2016.    REUTERS/Scott Audette (L), Javier Galeano (R)

Presidential front-runners Republican Donald Trump (L) and Democrat Hillary Clinton (R) in Miami, Florida at their respective Super Tuesday primaries on March 1, 2016. REUTERS/Scott Audette (L), Javier Galeano (R)

Donald Trump repeatedly says a lot of Democrats will vote for him in November. If it happens, it’ll be another unexpected development in an already raucous campaign.

Voters rarely switch parties in presidential elections, and they probably won’t this year either, according to a recent Reuters/Ipsos poll. When asked to pick between Trump and Clinton, only about 6 percent of Democrats who voted for President Barack Obama in 2012 say they’ll pull the lever for Trump on Election Day.

The reverse is true too: only about 4 percent of Republicans who voted for Mitt Romney, the Republican nominee in 2012, said they would support Clinton over Trump. As for Trump’s expectations, the people who may cross over for him are more likely to be independents. About 23 percent of independent voters who backed Obama in 2012 now say they support Trump.

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