Tales from the Trail

Tea Party ‘warriors’ take aim at Florida Senate race

TEA PARTYConservative Tea Party activists had loads of fun in Boston last month helping Scott Brown chuck Teddy Kennedy’s forever-Democratic Senate seat into Republican waters.

Now the painted warriors hope to stage a reenactment of Florida’s Dade Massacre, with Republican Gov. Charlie Crist playing the ill-fated Maj. Dade.

A new Rasmussen Reports poll shows Crist 12 percentage points behind former state House Speaker and Tea Party favorite Marco Rubio in Florida’s Republican primary contest for the U.S. Senate. Rubio leads Crist 49 percent to 37 percent.

Rubio’s lead is only just outside the poll’s 5 percentage point margin of error, and 11 percent of USA/the 449 people surveyed say they’re undecided. But the numbers suggest a fundamental change in voter sentiment since August, when Crist’s support stood at 53 percent. Rubio and Crist both hold a double-digit lead over likely Democratic nominee, U.S. Rep. Kendrick Meek, in the general election campaign to replace retiring Republican Sen. Mel Martinez.

Rubio’s fortunes present an important test of the Tea Party movement’s ability to draw votes. But there may be more than that at stake. Pundits say the Tea Party movement needs national leadership to become a true force in American politics. A Senate victory for Rubio could help give them that in time for the 2012 presidential election campaign.   ARMEY

Obama poll problem persists, Congress too

President Barack Obama can’t shake off his public opinion poll problem.

OBAMA/The Rasmussen reports daily presidential tracking poll today shows likely voter approval of presidential performance at 46 percent, the lowest level yet for Obama.

But wait, before anyone in Congress starts jumping up and down in glee, the public opinion of Congress is even more unflattering.

A Rasmussen Reports poll yesterday shows that 57 percent of likely voters would replace the entire Congress and start all over again.

Polls turning on Obama

The sky is not falling, but President Barack Obama is running into a bit of a poll problem.

Six months since he entered the White House on a tide of giddy support and even jokes that he walked on water, opinion polls are starting to turn on him. OBAMA/

In the latest Rasmussen Reports survey, Obama’s overall approval rating dipped below 50 percent – to 49 percent — for the first time among likely voters, compared with a 51 percent disapproval rating.

In 2012 who wins? poll may surprise

It may be getting time for the White House to polish up on that well-worn political line that public opinion polls don’t matter.

President Barack Obama got hit with a one-two polling punch today.

It’s never too early to talk about the presidential election that’s coming in 2012, they were talking about it during the last one even before the ballots were cast.

Rasmussen Reports in a national survey asked 1,000 likely voters who they would pick for president if the election was held now: Democrat Obama or Republican Mitt Romney.

Does Obama get too much media coverage?

obama-media.jpgNEW YORK - Few would doubt that Barack Obama has attracted more media coverage than his Republican rival John McCain, fueling suspicion that journalists are biased towards Obama. 

A Rasmussen Reports survey in July found that 49 percent of voters believe most reporters are trying to help Obama. Just 14 percent believed most reporters were trying to help McCain and 24 percent said most reporters tried to be objective.

Obama’s seventh appearance this year on the cover of Time magazine, compared to two for McCain, renewed those charges this week. Read our story on that here.