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<channel>
	<title>UK News &#187; recession</title>
	<link>http://blogs.reuters.com/uknews</link>
	<description>Our UK correspondents' insights</description>
	<pubDate>Fri, 05 Sep 2008 13:41:04 +0000</pubDate>
	<generator>http://wordpress.org/?v=2.3.3</generator>
	<language>en</language>
			<item>
		<title>Comeback for the Misery Index</title>
		<link>http://blogs.reuters.com/uknews/2008/08/21/comeback-for-the-mysery-index/</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.reuters.com/uknews/2008/08/21/comeback-for-the-mysery-index/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 21 Aug 2008 12:50:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Astrid Zweynert</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Consumer Finance]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[UK News]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[food prices]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[house prices]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[inflation]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[jimmy carter]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[margaret thatcher]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[misery index]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[recession]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[ronald reagan]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.reuters.com/uknews/2008/08/21/comeback-for-the-mysery-index/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The Misery Index, a financial pain barometer popular in the 1970s, is making a comeback - and it's at a 12-year high in Britain as inflation and unemployment soar.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://blogs.reuters.com/uknews/files/2008/08/misery4.jpg" title="misery4.jpg"><img src="http://blogs.reuters.com/uknews/files/2008/08/misery4.thumbnail.jpg" alt="misery4.jpg" class="imageframe" align="left" height="150" width="121" /></a>Credit crunch, surging food prices, rising unemployment, house prices tumbling, maybe even a recession &#8230;. isn&#8217;t it all enough to make you feel miserable? And I&#8217;m not even mentioning the dismal British summer weather.</p>
<p>And all that desolation can be measured - the<a href="http://www.miseryindex.us/"> Misery Index </a> is a financial pain barometer measured by adding the rate of inflation to the unemployment level.</p>
<p>Financial Web site <a href="http://www.moneymorning.com/">Money Morning </a> points out in a note that it now stands at a 12-year-high of 9.8 percent in Britain (consumer price inflation of 4.4 percent plus unemployment rate of 5.4 percent).</p>
<p>Not the most scientific approach but the index&#8217;s founder, American economist Arthur Okun, based it on the assumption that a higher rate of unemployment and a worsening of inflation both create economic and social costs for a country. Some analysts also argue that the rate of crime and the misery index correlate strongly.</p>
<p>During the Presidential campaign of 1976, Democratic candidate Jimmy Carter  made frequent references to the Misery Index, which by the summer of 1976 was at 13.57 percent. Carter stated that no man responsible for giving a country a misery index that high, had a right to even ask to be President. The remark may have haunted him somewhat as four years later it had soared to 22 percent and Ronald Reagan won the election.</p>
<p>While 22 percent sounds high,  spare a thought for the British consumer. Money Morning points out that in the summer of 1974, the UK Misery Index climbed well into the 30s, as annual inflation topped 26 percent and the country was hit by the three-day week. Then after a hitting a low of 13 percent by mid-1978, the index took off again after the &#8220;Winter of Discontent&#8221;, reaching 26 in the early months of Margaret Thatcher&#8217;s reign as Prime Minister.</p>
<p>More gloom and doom to come - is it all getting too much? You could try and listen to Baltimore-based death metal band  <a href="http://www.myspace.com/miseryindex">&#8220;Misery Index</a>&#8221; with its anti-consumerist lyrics or buy one of their T-shirts stating that &#8220;Ignorance is Bliss&#8221;.</p>
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		<title>Has the Bank been too cautious?</title>
		<link>http://blogs.reuters.com/uknews/2008/08/07/has-the-bank-been-too-cautious/</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.reuters.com/uknews/2008/08/07/has-the-bank-been-too-cautious/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 07 Aug 2008 11:13:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Natasha Elkington</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Consumer Finance]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[UK News]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[bank of england]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[credit crunch]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[economy]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[inflation]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[interest rates]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[oil prices]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[recession]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.reuters.com/uknews/2008/08/07/has-the-bank-been-too-cautious/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The Bank of England has kept rates unchanged for the fourth month running. But with oil prices coming down, do you think it should have opted for a cut?]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://blogs.reuters.com/uknews/files/2008/08/rtx71g6.jpg" title="rtx71g6.jpg"><img src="http://blogs.reuters.com/uknews/files/2008/08/rtx71g6.thumbnail.jpg" alt="rtx71g6.jpg" class="imageframe" align="left" height="99" width="150" /></a>Battling with the twin evils of soaring inflation and weaker growth, the Bank of England has<a href="http://uk.reuters.com/article/businessNews/idUKL773277620080807"> kept interest rates at 5 percent </a>for the fourth month running.</p>
<p>With the risk of Britain possibly facing its first recession since the early 1990s, the MPC has clearly opted for caution.</p>
<p>But aren&#8217;t the prices of oil and other commodities starting to fall?  Isn&#8217;t the greater risk towards sluggish growth?</p>
<p>Do you think the Bank is being too cautious and should have gone for a cut?</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Preparation key to riding out recession</title>
		<link>http://blogs.reuters.com/uknews/2008/05/09/preparation-key-to-riding-out-recession/</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.reuters.com/uknews/2008/05/09/preparation-key-to-riding-out-recession/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 09 May 2008 10:04:12 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jennifer Hill</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Consumer Finance]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[UK News]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[insurance]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[personal finance]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[protection]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[recession]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[savings]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.reuters.com/uknews/2008/05/09/preparation-key-to-riding-out-recession/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Preparation is the best defence to safeguard your finances. Read our tips and share with us some of your own.
]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://blogs.reuters.com/uknews/files/2008/05/cash-3.jpg" title="cash-3.jpg"><img align="left" width="192" src="http://blogs.reuters.com/uknews/files/2008/05/cash-3.jpg" alt="cash-3.jpg" height="144" class="imageframe" /></a>We are living in uncertain times. House prices are falling, the economy is slowing and consumers are under the cosh from the fall-out from the credit crunch, which is <a href="http://uk.reuters.com/article/personalFinanceNews/idUKNOA43908620080424?feedType=RSS&amp;feedName=personalFinanceNews">sending borrowing costs higher</a>.</p>
<p>Preparation is the best defence for your finances. As Karen Torson, partnerships business manager at the Cheshire Building Society, says: &#8220;An uncertain economy can cause worry for many individuals, but taking the time to ensure you are well prepared can provide peace of mind and make a big difference &#8212; whatever the future holds.&#8221; Whatever might lay ahead, our top tips should help:</p>
<p>* Protect yourself</p>
<p>There are many different insurance policies on the market offering various levels of cover, so consider what you actually need, be it mortgage protection, income protection or both.</p>
<p>Research cost options and check the small print. In comparison with income protection policies, mortgage payment protection insurance (MPPI) plans can be greatly inferior and might even cost you more, according to protection specialist LifeSearch. Typically, MPPI plans only pay out for one year, include a number of important exclusions and both the premiums and the conditions of the policy can be changed at short notice.</p>
<p>* Don&#8217;t stop the music</p>
<p>Read other insurance policies carefully to know what you&#8217;re covered for.</p>
<p>For example, music fans should think about protecting downloads. Many of Britain&#8217;s big name home insurers are still not paying out for claims on the loss of downloaded music &#8212; despite the fact that digital sales now form a <a href="http://www.bardltd.org/content/home.asp">massive chunk of consumers&#8217; music purchases</a>. They include Endsleigh, Barclays and Bradford &amp; Bingley, according to price comparison website Moneynet.co.uk.</p>
<p>* Save for a rainy day</p>
<p>Inflows into building societies are on a high &#8212; and cash savings are an important cushion against hard times. The rising cost of living has made it more difficult for most to save, but every little helps: try and put a small sum into a <a href="http://www.moneyfacts.co.uk/savings/bestbuys/instant-access-savings-accounts.aspx">high-interest savings account</a> each month.</p>
<p>* Shop economically</p>
<p>Think of ways of cutting down on spending. Supermarkets, for example, usually have reduced-priced goods near the end of the day, while TK Maxx sells designer and high street brands of womenswear, menswear, homeware, gifts and accessories at up to 60 percent less than the recommended retail price.</p>
<p>* Know where to turn</p>
<p>There are many services out there that can help if you fall on hard times or have a financial problem. The <a href="http://www.citizensadvice.org.uk/">Citizens Advice Bureau</a> is a good starting point.</p>
<p>* Keep your CV up to date</p>
<p>Regardless of whether or not you feel secure in your job, take time to update your CV. It will mean one less thing to worry about if you find yourself out of work.</p>
<p>Are there other ways you are easing the financial strain? Share your tips with us.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<item>
		<title>Is curry the latest for the spending chop?</title>
		<link>http://blogs.reuters.com/uknews/2008/03/20/is-curry-the-latest-for-the-spending-chop/</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.reuters.com/uknews/2008/03/20/is-curry-the-latest-for-the-spending-chop/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 20 Mar 2008 09:38:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jennifer Hill</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Consumer Finance]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[UK News]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Budget]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[consuemrs]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[debt]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[economic downturn]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[holiday]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[income]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[recession]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[shopping]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[spending]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.reuters.com/uknews/2008/03/20/is-curry-the-latest-for-the-spending-chop/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[During a recession, cash is king -- and worried consumers are reining in those purse strings, which means even the Friday night curry might be at risk. ]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img align="left" width="192" src="http://uk.reuters.com/resources/r/?m=02&amp;d=20080213&amp;t=2&amp;i=3145230&amp;w=192&amp;r=2008-02-13T170221Z_01_L13134839_RTRUKOP_0_PICTURE0" height="128" />The Friday night take-away, Saturday shopping spree and summer get-away are in line for the chop, as consumers become increasingly nervous over looming recession. Almost nine out of 10 Britons say they will cut spending on non-essential items to cushion themselves against impending economic downturn, according to a poll of 1,000 people for Web site <a href="http://www.fool.co.uk">Fool.co.uk</a>.</p>
<p>A British institution &#8212; the good old take-away &#8212; is set to receive the biggest blow, with over two-thirds of the nation planning to cut back on curries, fish suppers and late-night kebabs, the survey says. Other planned cutbacks include retail therapy (67 percent) and fewer holidays (49 percent), while 12 percent plan to stop smoking, 4 percent to put pension contributions on hold and 3 percent say they will even cut their kids&#8217; pocket-money.</p>
<p>This is just the latest in a string of evidence pointing to <a href="http://uk.reuters.com/article/personalFinanceNews/idUKHIL03082120080320">dwindling consumer confidence</a> and increased uneasiness over the state of the global economy. It is, of course, important not to talk ourselves into recession: unnecessary doom and gloom will only serve to exacerbate the situation, something that those with a vested interest in the property market remaining buoyant have long maintained.</p>
<p>But Britons are surely feeling the pinch. The latest figures from Philip Hammond, shadow Treasury chief secretary, reveal that the disposable income of the average working family has dropped to 25,900 pounds today from 26,200 pounds in 2006, and personal debt in the UK is growing at an unprecedented rate &#8212; one million pounds every five minutes.</p>
<p>With the cost of living rising while disposable income falls, consumers must feel like they are being squeezed from all sides: failure to make hay while the sun was shining could soon come back to haunt them. It is reassuring, then, that reality is finally hitting home. During a recession, cash is king. And those with the leanest budgets will be best placed to survive.</p>
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		<title>Consumers go it alone as storm clouds gather</title>
		<link>http://blogs.reuters.com/uknews/2008/03/13/consumers-go-it-alone-as-storm-clouds-gather/</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.reuters.com/uknews/2008/03/13/consumers-go-it-alone-as-storm-clouds-gather/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 13 Mar 2008 11:12:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jennifer Hill</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Consumer Finance]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[UK News]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Budget]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[chancellor]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[child trust funds]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[consumers]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[darling]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[debt]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[individual savings accounts]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[investors]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[ISAs]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[pensions]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[recession]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[savings]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.reuters.com/uknews/2008/03/13/consumers-go-it-alone-as-storm-clouds-gather/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[There was little cheer for consumers in Wednesday's Budget. Hard-pressed householders must face the headwinds and try to ride out the looming economic storm alone. Is it time to tighten your belt?]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://blogs.reuters.com/uknews/files/2008/03/storms-cropped.jpg" title="storms-cropped.jpg"></a><a href="http://blogs.reuters.com/uknews/files/2008/03/storms.jpg" title="storms.jpg"></a><a href="http://blogs.reuters.com/uknews/files/2008/03/storms2.jpg" title="storms2.jpg"></a><a href="http://blogs.reuters.com/uknews/files/2008/03/storms21.jpg" title="storms21.jpg"></a><a href="http://blogs.reuters.com/uknews/files/2008/03/storms21.jpg" title="storms21.jpg"><img align="right" width="250" src="http://blogs.reuters.com/uknews/files/2008/03/storms21.jpg" alt="storms21.jpg" height="165" /></a>The dust has settled on Alistair Darling&#8217;s first Budget and consumers have been given little reason for celebration. The Chancellor, though announcing various measures designed to <a href="http://uk.reuters.com/article/personalFinanceNews/idUKNOA25526320080312">increase housing affordability</a>, has done nothing to help the masses.</p>
<p>There were no moves to give a helping hand to hard-pressed householders, already struggling amid rocketing mortgage, food, fuel and tax costs, to ride out an impending recession. Darling did pledge to introduce a savings scheme targeted at low and moderate earners, often least able to save: the &#8220;saving gateway&#8221; will attract government matching for savings over the duration of people&#8217;s participation in the scheme. This has the potential to introduce up to eight million people into mainstream savings in the UK who otherwise might not make thrift a priority.</p>
<p>But the level of take-up of such a scheme, amid <a href="http://uk.reuters.com/article/savingAndLoansNews/idUKNOA02990320080310">record personal debt levels</a> and huge pressure on people&#8217;s purse-strings, is debatable. Other such government schemes to encourage the nation to save have hardly been a runaway success: think stakeholder pensions and child-trust funds (CTF). One fifth of parents currently let their CTF expire &#8212; the government can&#8217;t even give money away.</p>
<p>Individual savings accounts (ISAs), on the other hand, have flourished. They are one of the government&#8217;s true success stories. More than one in three adults hold an ISA and almost 215 billion pounds has been invested &#8212; making them far more popular than other savings initiatives.</p>
<p>Yet, the limits that savers can squirrel away into these tax-efficient vehicles have sorely failed to keep pace with inflation. The allowance will increase to 7,200 pounds from 7,000 pounds (3,600 pounds of which can be held in cash, up from 3,000 pounds) in the coming tax year &#8212; but that means the total threshold has risen by less than 3 percent since the accounts were introduced almost a decade ago. &#8220;Failing to increase ISA allowances further is a poke in the eye of savers who need encouragement to put away money,&#8221; says David Kuo, head of personal finance at Fool.co.uk.</p>
<p>Other <a href="http://uk.reuters.com/article/personalFinanceNews/idUKHIL15976820070202">changes to the ISA regime</a> mean people will be able to switch cash holdings into stocks and shares &#8212; but the reverse will not be possible. And, once the switch has been made, there&#8217;s no turning back. The new rules raise the spectre of &#8220;another ghastly financial scandal&#8221;, according to Cliff Husband, research director at AWD Chase de Vere. &#8220;People could switch their ISA cash savings into investments unaware that they can&#8217;t switch back. This looks like another poorly delivered initiative from the government; it would be far fairer to all taxpayers if the switch between cash and investment within an ISA could be easily reversed.&#8221;</p>
<p>On pensions, too, there is little to encourage saving. While scrapping the 10 pence income tax rate and reducing the basic rate by 2 pence has done next to nothing to increase people&#8217;s take home pay, it has reduced the amount of tax relief they&#8217;ll get on their pension savings. The Chancellor has maintain higher level tax relief on gifts to charities, so why not for pensions?</p>
<p>&#8220;Frankly, while politicians have gold-plated final salary pensions, they can tinker with regulations which will have no real benefit for real workers,&#8221; says AWD&#8217;s marketing director Martyn Laverick. &#8220;If MPs did not have such generous pensions and they faced the same issues the majority of people in this country face about their pensions we would see more decisive action.&#8221;</p>
<p>So, it seems, consumers must face the headwinds and try to ride out the storm alone. From today, they should be tightening their belts.</p>
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