Myanmar must brace for post-sanctions cash deluge
By Wayne Arnold
The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.
After 50 years of isolation, Myanmar now faces the danger of being deluged by foreign cash. With U.S. sanctions suspended, it is open season for investment. While inadequate legal and financial infrastructure is unlikely to deter them, they’ll need to work with authorities to make sure their cash doesn’t fuel inflation, inequality and corruption.
Samsung investors should worry less about Apple
By Wayne Arnold
The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.
Samsung investors are worrying too much about Apple. The company’s shares have slid on concern the iPhone’s maker might be buying Japanese memory chips to cut its dependence for parts on its South Korean rival. But Apple’s diversification only reflects how smartphone demand is outpacing parts supply. Apple still needs Samsung and Samsung’s valuation has fallen too far.
Asia’s bonds look shinier as Europe and China slump
By Wayne Arnold
The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.
Asian bonds seem likely to gain from growing anxiety about Europe and China. The region’s robust finances have made its sovereign debt a safe haven as larger economies sputter. An indiscriminate sell-off would hurt everyone, but Indonesia, Japan and the Philippines all have qualities that should give them greater resilience.
China has strongest hand in Philippine stand-off
By Wayne Arnold
The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.
China’s stand-off with the Philippines over disputed islands in the South China Sea puts Manila in a difficult spot. While the Philippines has the support of U.S. military muscle, China is its number-three importer, and it needs China to help fund new mines and fill new casinos. Whoever gets to tap the oil and gas beneath the South China Sea, China would be the biggest buyer. That argues for a peaceful, face-saving solution.
China joins Europe as weak link in Asian trade
The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own
China has emerged as a weak link in Asian trade. Asia’s exports to the United States are rebounding, offsetting a sharp slide in shipments to Europe. Recovering demand from the world’s largest economy would normally mean more exports to the world’s largest factory: China. But as Beijing reins in growth to rebalance its economy, it seems to need fewer raw materials, parts and machinery from its neighbours.
Samsung moves on from Japan to nibble at Apple
By Wayne Arnold
The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.
The Japanese may have pioneered the model of a vertically integrated electronics manufacturer, but Samsung looks to have perfected it. The Korean company started by pulling apart Japanese TV sets, then reverse-engineered the manufacturers’ business model. By avoiding their missteps, it’s driving them out of TVs and carving up the smartphone market with Apple. Now, as more business is coming from emerging markets, Apple needs to watch out for Samsung’s still-growing appetite.
Thailand’s weak exports don’t dent recovery story
By Wayne Arnold
The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.
Thailand’s weak exports don’t dent its reconstruction tale. Rebuilding after 2011’s floods is likely to produce a V-shaped recovery. Falling European demand is a worry, but investment is booming and output should too once factories reopen. Government handouts will prop up rural consumption, which augurs well for earnings and stocks.
DBS deal tests Indonesia’s deep Singapore-phobia
By Wayne Arnold
The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.
Even a 52 percent premium may not be enough to snag Indonesia’s biggest bank takeover. DBS of Singapore has offered $7.2 billion for Indonesia’s Bank Danamon in a tie-up that would benefit both banks and burnish Indonesia’s image as a hot destination for foreign investment. But with elections approaching, longstanding mistrust of Singapore could trump commercial logic.
Don’t blame Japan for foreign CEO departures
By Wayne Arnold
The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.
It’s not Japan’s fault that the country is losing foreign CEOs. The country’s insular culture may have added to the frustration of departing bosses at Nippon Sheet Glass, Olympus and even Nomura. But merger pains, fraud and headstrong directors are problems everywhere. The more they go abroad, the more Japanese companies will have foreign executives.
BREAKINGVIEWS: Infosys U.S. woes tarnish India’s star sector
By Wayne Arnold and Jeff Glekin
HONG KONG/MUMBAI (Reuters Breakingviews) – Infosys’ legal troubles in the United States may complicate life for India’s feted outsourcing industry. Outsourcers have been a relative bright spot in a market dogged by worries about India’s growth prospects. But an investigation into allegations Infosys broke visa rules to get Indian employees into the United States will put them on eggshells. Until the air clears, this is another reason to avoid Indian stocks.
Indian outsourcers have been a shelter of sorts for investors, offering a way to play the India theme without the worries about domestic growth and political paralysis. They had a recession-proof appeal: companies eager to cut costs in good times would be more desperate to do so in bad times. As a result, Infosys shares had fallen only 8 percent in 2012 up to April 13, while market heavyweight Reliance Industries had slid 26 percent.










